Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Walsall v Grimsby Town

Inicio: 2026-08-22 11:30 UTC

Final: Walsall 0–0 Grimsby Town

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Walsall (Local)

Predicción 31.55%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.706%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.40%31.51%31.53%32.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.802.922.903.1035.71%34.19%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Grimsby Town (Visitante)

Predicción 40.81%2.45momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -2.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.57%40.80%40.82%42.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.272.282.3846.51%43.96%43.86%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.64%3.62momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -0.771%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.33%27.69%27.65%29.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.283.303.5232.79%30.47%30.30%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Walsall (Local): 31.55%; Grimsby Town (Visitante): 40.81%; Empate: 27.64%. Para Walsall (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.17. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.10, con un valor esperado de -2.19%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -2.19%E -0.706%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 11:15
Pinnacle🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 30.87%EV -2.51%E -0.811%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.03%EV -7.36%E -3.24%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.10%EV -2.71%E -0.771%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 11:10
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 11:15
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 11:04
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 11:25
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 11:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -8.24%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 11:24
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 11:09
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -10.22%E -4.64%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.10%E -1.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 11:09
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:25
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:20
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 11:24
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -5.32%E -2.29%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 11:15
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.31%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.82%EV -5.32%E -2.29%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 11:15
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -6.92%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -10.22%E -4.64%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 11:08
1xBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.83%EV -7.24%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -4.91%E -2.11%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.01%EV -7.69%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 11:20
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 11:04
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 11:09
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -10.22%E -4.64%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:09
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:24
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:24
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:23
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 11:05
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 11:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 11:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 11:05
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 11:04
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 11:04
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 11:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 11:04
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 11:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:19
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.27%E -0.933%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 11:20
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -12.26%E -5.70%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 11:10
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -14.32%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.03%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 11:14
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -7.41%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:09
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.62%EV -6.95%E -3.05%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -12.94%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.24%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -15.70%E -5.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 11:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -8.99%E -4.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -15.70%E -5.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 11:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.78%EV -8.99%E -4.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -15.70%E -5.15%K -7.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 11:05
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.66%E -4.16%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.22%E -4.64%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.79%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 11:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-08-22 11:25
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.83%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%2.2%2026-08-22 11:25