Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tranmere Rovers v Harrogate Town

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 19:47 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Prediction 41.65%2.40fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.54%41.77%41.70%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.152.202.3052.08%46.44%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Harrogate Town (Visit)

Prediction 29.35%3.41fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.368%
Kelly +0.518%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.55%29.35%29.32%30.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.923.213.203.4534.25%31.16%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.00%3.45fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.416%
Kelly -0.590%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.58%28.88%28.98%30.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.193.203.4035.71%31.33%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 41.65%; Harrogate Town (Visit): 29.35%; Draw: 29.00%. For Harrogate Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -15.86%E -7.85%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV +1.27%E +0.368%K +0.518%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:45
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -15.86%E -7.85%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV +1.27%E +0.368%K +0.518%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:44
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -15.86%E -7.85%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV +1.27%E +0.368%K +0.518%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:44
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -15.86%E -7.85%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV +1.27%E +0.368%K +0.518%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -15.86%E -7.85%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV +1.27%E +0.368%K +0.518%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.12%EV -5.03%E -2.21%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.64%EV -6.05%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.12%EV -5.03%E -2.21%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.64%EV -6.05%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -17.53%E -8.85%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -17.95%E -9.11%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -17.95%E -9.11%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -17.95%E -9.11%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -17.95%E -9.11%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.63%EV -20.03%E -10.43%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -3.13%E -0.950%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -8.66%E -2.75%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.02%EV -5.45%E -2.40%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.99%EV -3.43%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.99%EV -4.60%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 19:44
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:44
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -5.45%E -2.40%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -5.19%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -9.24%E -2.95%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -7.95%E -3.60%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -5.48%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -8.37%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:44
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.76%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.21%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.76%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:44
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.21%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:45
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.53%E -3.39%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.21%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.76%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:44
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:45
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.01%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -16.70%E -8.35%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -1.42%E -0.416%K -0.590%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.66%E -2.75%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.66%E -2.75%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:44
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:44
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:44
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:44
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:44
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.42%E -0.416%K -0.590%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.21%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.21%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.21%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.44%EV -8.78%E -4.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:45
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.01%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.76%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.76%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.01%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -18.81%E -6.72%K -10.45%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-17 19:44
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -13.41%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -13.01%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-17 19:45
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.73%EV -14.29%E -4.89%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%EV -8.66%E -2.75%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%2.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%4.0%2026-03-17 19:45