La escuela de los momios

Tranmere Rovers v Harrogate Town

Inicio: 2026-03-17 19:47 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Predicción 41.65%2.40momio equitativo
EV -4.20%
Ventaja -1.83%
Kelly -3.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.54%41.77%41.70%45.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.922.152.202.3052.08%46.44%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Harrogate Town (Visitante)

Predicción 29.35%3.41momio equitativo
EV +1.27%
Ventaja +0.368%
Kelly +0.518%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.55%29.35%29.32%30.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.923.213.203.4534.25%31.16%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.00%3.45momio equitativo
EV -1.42%
Ventaja -0.416%
Kelly -0.590%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.58%28.88%28.98%30.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.193.203.4035.71%31.33%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -15.86%E -7.85%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV +1.27%E +0.368%K +0.518%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -15.86%E -7.85%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV +1.27%E +0.368%K +0.518%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:44
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -15.86%E -7.85%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV +1.27%E +0.368%K +0.518%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:44
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -15.86%E -7.85%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV +1.27%E +0.368%K +0.518%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:44
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -15.86%E -7.85%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV +1.27%E +0.368%K +0.518%G +0.007%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 19:44
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.12%EV -5.03%E -2.21%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.64%EV -6.05%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 19:45
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.12%EV -5.03%E -2.21%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.64%EV -6.05%E -1.87%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -17.53%E -8.85%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:44
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -17.95%E -9.11%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -17.95%E -9.11%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -17.95%E -9.11%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:44
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 45.95%EV -17.95%E -9.11%K -18.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -0.199%E -0.059%K -0.083%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.63%EV -20.03%E -10.43%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -3.13%E -0.950%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -8.66%E -2.75%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.02%EV -5.45%E -2.40%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.99%EV -3.43%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.99%EV -4.60%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 19:44
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.60%E -1.42%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:44
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -5.45%E -2.40%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -5.19%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -9.24%E -2.95%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:44
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 41.92%EV -7.95%E -3.60%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.77%EV -5.48%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -8.37%E -2.65%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:44
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -5.76%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.20%E -1.83%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -7.21%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.76%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:44
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.21%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:45
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.53%E -3.39%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.21%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.76%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:44
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:45
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -13.01%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -16.70%E -8.35%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -1.42%E -0.416%K -0.590%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.66%E -2.75%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.66%E -2.75%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:44
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:44
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:44
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:44
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -7.54%E -2.39%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:44
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -1.42%E -0.416%K -0.590%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.21%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.21%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.21%E -2.25%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 41.44%EV -8.78%E -4.01%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:45
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.01%E -2.90%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.01%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.28%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.76%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 19:45
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.76%E -1.77%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.11%E -3.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.01%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -12.53%E -5.97%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -18.81%E -6.72%K -10.45%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-17 19:44
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 40.89%EV -10.45%E -4.86%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -13.41%E -4.55%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -13.01%E -4.34%K -6.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-17 19:45
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -8.37%E -3.80%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.73%EV -14.29%E -4.89%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%EV -8.66%E -2.75%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-17 19:45
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%2.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 42.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%4.0%2026-03-17 19:45