Language:English
Tranmere Rovers v Grimsby Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tranmere Rovers (Local)
Prediction 29.73%3.36fair odd
EV -0.389%
Edge -0.116%
Kelly -0.166%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.21%29.59%29.67%30.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.153.3533.33%31.33%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grimsby Town (Visit)
Prediction 43.76%2.29fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.51%43.82%43.79%45.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.102.2050.00%48.00%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.50%3.77fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.820%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%26.59%26.54%28.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.453.403.6633.33%29.01%29.41%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 29.73%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 43.76%; Draw: 26.50%. For Tranmere Rovers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -0.389%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -12.47%E -6.24%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -12.47%E -6.24%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -12.47%E -6.24%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -1.88%E -0.568%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -1.88%E -0.568%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 14:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 14:43 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.85%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 14:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.85%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 14:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.85%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 14:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.85%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -4.85%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.06%EV -5.74%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -5.03%E -2.32%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -3.00%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -5.74%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.67%EV -6.35%E -2.97%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.85%EV -7.77%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -3.27%E -0.895%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -5.47%E -2.53%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -5.47%E -2.53%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.22%E -3.41%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.22%E -3.41%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.22%E -3.41%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.89%EV -7.66%E -3.63%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -7.77%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -7.23%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -12.47%E -6.24%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -20.49%E -6.83%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.03%EV -7.66%E -3.63%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.69% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06% | 2.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |