La escuela de los momios

Tranmere Rovers v Grimsby Town

Inicio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Tranmere Rovers 1–1 Grimsby Town

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Predicción 29.73%3.36momio equitativo
EV -0.389%
Ventaja -0.116%
Kelly -0.166%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.21%29.59%29.67%30.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.193.153.3533.33%31.33%31.75%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Grimsby Town (Visitante)

Predicción 43.76%2.29momio equitativo
EV -3.72%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.51%43.82%43.79%45.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.082.102.2050.00%48.00%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.50%3.77momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -0.820%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%26.59%26.54%28.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.403.6633.33%29.01%29.41%27.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 00:00
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -11.60%E -5.74%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -12.47%E -6.24%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -12.47%E -6.24%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -0.389%E -0.116%K -0.166%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.58%EV -12.47%E -6.24%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.22%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -1.88%E -0.568%K -0.816%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:40
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -1.88%E -0.568%K -0.816%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 14:44
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.36%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 14:43
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.85%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 14:44
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.85%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 14:44
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.85%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 14:44
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.85%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:35
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -4.85%E -1.52%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 13:40
Pinnacle3.17I 31.55%NM 30.06%EV -5.74%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.91%EV -5.03%E -2.32%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.03%EV -3.00%E -0.820%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 13:35
1xBet3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -5.74%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.67%EV -6.35%E -2.97%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.85%EV -7.77%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.05%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.02%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -3.27%E -0.895%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 13:31
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -5.47%E -2.53%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.42%EV -5.47%E -2.53%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -7.22%E -3.41%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:34
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:30
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.22%E -3.41%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:30
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -7.22%E -3.41%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:31
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Marathon Bet3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.89%EV -7.66%E -3.63%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.61%EV -7.77%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:30
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -7.23%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -3.72%E -1.69%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:54
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.59%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:40
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:54
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:31
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.57%E -2.48%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:30
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.91%E -2.75%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.54%E -3.80%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:45
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:30
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -7.82%E -2.52%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -12.47%E -6.24%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -20.49%E -6.83%K -10.25%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-02 13:25
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:30
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.03%EV -7.66%E -3.63%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:45
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.10%E -3.86%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.89%E -2.91%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:30
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 13:34
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.80%E -3.60%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.29%E -5.02%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.24%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-02 13:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.69%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.06%2.6%2026-05-02 13:55