Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tranmere Rovers v Bristol Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Final: Tranmere Rovers 1–2 Bristol Rovers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Prediction 32.18%3.11fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.12%32.12%32.20%34.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.852.883.0037.04%35.05%34.72%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bristol Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 39.16%2.55fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.73%39.27%39.14%40.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.332.4744.44%42.76%42.92%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.66%3.49fair odd
EV +3.19%
Edge +0.887%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%28.61%28.66%30.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.203.203.6034.72%31.21%31.25%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tranmere Rovers (Local): 32.18%; Bristol Rovers (Visit): 39.16%; Draw: 28.66%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +3.19%E +0.887%K +1.23%G +0.039%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.17%EV -9.26%E -3.28%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.47%EV -7.19%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.35%EV -1.97%E -0.575%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.54%E -0.747%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.98%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -2.54%E -0.747%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:58
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.98%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -2.54%E -0.747%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.08%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.98%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:00
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -5.08%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:58
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.99%EV -7.19%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.51%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.98%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Bovada🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.31%EV -12.48%E -4.59%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.23%EV -9.54%E -4.13%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%EV -5.08%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.64%EV -3.28%E -1.33%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.01%EV -5.69%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 13:59
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.51%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -11.89%E -5.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.81%EV -7.70%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Betsson🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -5.24%E -2.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -5.24%E -2.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.41%EV -8.76%E -3.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.41%EV -8.76%E -3.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:54
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.41%EV -8.76%E -3.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.41%EV -8.76%E -3.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.15%E -3.94%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -7.98%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.05%EV -8.76%E -3.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -7.98%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.15%E -3.94%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.15%E -3.94%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.15%E -3.94%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.15%E -3.94%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:59
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -7.98%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -11.51%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -10.72%E -4.70%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -10.72%E -4.70%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -11.89%E -5.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.89%E -5.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -17.45%E -6.06%K -9.28%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.23%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%2.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00