La escuela de los momios

Tranmere Rovers v Bristol Rovers

Inicio: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Final: Tranmere Rovers 1–2 Bristol Rovers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tranmere Rovers (Local)

Predicción 32.18%3.11momio equitativo
EV -3.47%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.12%32.12%32.20%34.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.852.883.0037.04%35.05%34.72%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bristol Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 39.16%2.55momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -2.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.73%39.27%39.14%40.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.342.332.4744.44%42.76%42.92%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.66%3.49momio equitativo
EV +3.19%
Ventaja +0.887%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.039%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.09%28.61%28.66%30.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.203.203.6034.72%31.21%31.25%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV +3.19%E +0.887%K +1.23%G +0.039%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
1xBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.17%EV -9.26%E -3.28%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.47%EV -7.19%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.35%EV -1.97%E -0.575%K -0.813%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.54%E -0.747%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.98%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -2.54%E -0.747%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:58
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.98%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -2.54%E -0.747%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -5.08%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.98%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -3.97%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -5.08%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:58
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.99%EV -7.19%E -3.04%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -11.51%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.98%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Bovada2.72I 36.76%NM 33.31%EV -12.48%E -4.59%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.23%EV -9.54%E -4.13%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -5.41%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle2.95I 33.90%NM 32.35%EV -5.08%E -1.72%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.64%EV -3.28%E -1.33%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.01%EV -5.69%E -1.73%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 13:59
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -11.51%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -11.89%E -5.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.84%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.81%EV -7.70%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -5.24%E -2.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -5.24%E -2.16%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.02%E -2.51%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.41%EV -8.76%E -3.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.41%EV -8.76%E -3.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:54
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.41%EV -8.76%E -3.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.41%EV -8.76%E -3.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.15%E -3.94%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.27%E -2.59%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -7.98%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.71%E -3.08%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.05%EV -8.76%E -3.76%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -7.98%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.15%E -3.94%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.15%E -3.94%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.15%E -3.94%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -9.15%E -3.94%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 14:00
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -6.69%E -2.31%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:59
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -7.33%E -2.55%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -7.98%E -3.39%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -11.51%E -4.19%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -6.80%E -2.86%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -11.14%E -3.59%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -10.72%E -4.70%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -8.30%E -2.91%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.25%EV -10.72%E -4.70%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -11.89%E -5.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.57%E -4.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -9.91%E -3.54%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.89%E -5.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -14.01%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -13.12%E -4.86%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -17.45%E -6.06%K -9.28%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.41%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.33%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%1.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.23%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.46%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%2.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00