Language:English
Shrewsbury Town v Tranmere Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shrewsbury Town (Local)
Prediction 40.93%2.44fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.47%40.93%40.88%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.242.252.3446.73%44.61%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tranmere Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 29.27%3.42fair odd
EV +0.100%
Edge +0.029%
Kelly +0.041%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.74%29.26%29.47%30.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.4233.33%31.43%31.25%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.80%3.36fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -0.965%
Kelly -1.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.68%29.81%29.65%31.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.133.153.2534.48%31.97%31.75%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shrewsbury Town (Local): 40.93%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 29.27%; Draw: 29.80%. For Tranmere Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.417. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.420, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.100%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.50%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.91%EV +0.100%E +0.029%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.59%EV -7.01%E -2.25%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.13%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -0.485%E -0.143%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.56%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.13%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -0.485%E -0.143%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.56%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.08%E -4.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.57%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -12.01%E -5.58%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.35%EV -8.32%E -3.72%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -5.17%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -8.20%E -2.66%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -7.01%E -2.25%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -12.42%E -5.80%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -12.42%E -5.80%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -12.42%E -5.80%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -3.14%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -3.14%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -10.73%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -10.73%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.73%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -10.73%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 13:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |