Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shrewsbury Town v Tranmere Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shrewsbury Town (Local)

Prévision 40.93%2.44cote équitable
EV -4.23%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -3.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.47%40.93%40.88%42.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.142.242.252.3446.73%44.61%44.44%42.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.27%3.42cote équitable
EV +0.100%
Avantage +0.029%
Kelly +0.041%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.74%29.26%29.47%30.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.203.4233.33%31.43%31.25%29.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.80%3.36cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -0.965%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.68%29.81%29.65%31.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.133.153.2534.48%31.97%31.75%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shrewsbury Town (Local) : 40.93% ; Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur) : 29.27% ; Match nul : 29.80%. Pour Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.417. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.420, soit une espérance positive de +0.100%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.50%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.91%EV +0.100%E +0.029%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.59%EV -7.01%E -2.25%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.13%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -0.485%E -0.143%K -0.202%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.56%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.13%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.31%EV -0.485%E -0.143%K -0.202%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.56%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 13:45
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.08%E -4.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:49
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -3.41%E -1.03%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.57%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:45
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -9.10%E -2.98%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:44
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:30
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:30
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:30
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:30
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -11.60%E -5.37%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -12.01%E -5.58%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:30
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:49
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.35%EV -8.32%E -3.72%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.58%EV -5.17%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -8.20%E -2.66%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -7.01%E -2.25%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:50
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -12.42%E -5.80%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -12.42%E -5.80%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -12.42%E -5.80%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.34%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.80%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -3.14%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:45
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -3.14%E -0.965%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:45
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:45
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:44
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:45
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -10.73%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:45
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -10.73%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:45
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.73%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -6.12%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -10.73%E -3.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:50
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.63%E -1.45%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.61%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:29
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.19%E -4.06%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.59%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 13:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-04-03 13:50
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-04-03 13:50