Language:English
Salford City v Chesterfield FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Salford City (Local)
Prediction 46.83%2.14fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.17%46.79%46.81%48.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.992.002.0552.63%50.20%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chesterfield FC (Visit)
Prediction 26.19%3.82fair odd
EV +5.53%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.101%
assuming max odds 4.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.21%26.22%26.19%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.503.504.0330.77%28.60%28.57%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.344%
Kelly -0.473%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%26.99%27.00%28.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.403.6632.26%29.75%29.41%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salford City (Local): 46.83%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 26.19%; Draw: 26.98%. For Chesterfield FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -10.08%E -5.25%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.21%EV +5.53%E +1.37%K +1.83%G +0.101% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -10.16%E -3.05%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.80%E -0.480%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 11:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -10.55%E -5.52%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -6.80%E -3.42%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.05%EV -4.16%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.05%EV -1.26%E -0.344%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.27%E -3.67%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.01%E -5.80%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.55%E -5.52%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -8.20%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -8.20%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -8.20%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.81%EV -7.27%E -3.67%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -7.82%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -1.53%E -0.419%K -0.577%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.20%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.31%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.89%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-17 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.89%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.91% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 0.3% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.31% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |