Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Salford City v Chesterfield FC

Início: 2026-08-22 11:30 UTC

Final: Salford City 0–1 Chesterfield FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Salford City (Local)

Previsão 46.83%2.14odd justa
EV -3.99%
Vantagem -1.95%
Kelly -3.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.17%46.79%46.81%48.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.901.992.002.0552.63%50.20%50.00%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chesterfield FC (Visitante)

Previsão 26.19%3.82odd justa
EV +5.53%
Vantagem +1.37%
Kelly +1.83%
Crescimento +0.101%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.21%26.22%26.19%27.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.503.504.0330.77%28.60%28.57%24.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.98%3.71odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.344%
Kelly -0.473%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.81%26.99%27.00%28.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.363.403.6632.26%29.75%29.41%27.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Salford City (Local): 46.83%; Chesterfield FC (Visitante): 26.19%; Empate: 26.98%. Para Chesterfield FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.82. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.03, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.53%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -10.08%E -5.25%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.21%EV +5.53%E +1.37%K +1.83%G +0.101%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -10.16%E -3.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 11:20
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -1.80%E -0.480%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 11:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:20
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:25
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:23
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -10.55%E -5.52%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:18
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -6.80%E -3.42%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.05%EV -4.16%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.05%EV -1.26%E -0.344%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 11:25
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 11:24
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 11:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 11:24
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -7.27%E -3.67%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -11.01%E -5.80%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 11:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -10.55%E -5.52%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -8.20%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -8.20%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:14
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -8.20%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 11:20
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 11:24
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.66%EV -7.74%E -3.93%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 11:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.81%EV -7.27%E -3.67%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -7.82%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 11:14
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 11:20
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -1.53%E -0.419%K -0.577%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 11:25
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.88%E -0.799%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 11:14
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -8.20%E -4.19%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 11:14
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -9.66%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.92%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 11:15
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 11:14
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 11:14
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 11:24
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 11:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 11:24
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 11:25
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:24
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:24
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:29
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:29
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -3.99%E -1.95%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.31%EV -4.46%E -2.18%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 15:29
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.67%E -4.45%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.17%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-17 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.89%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-17 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -6.33%E -3.17%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.89%E -4.58%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.79%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-17 15:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60%0.3%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-22 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-22 11:25
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.31%1.7%2026-08-22 11:15