Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.59
assuming max odds 6.54
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salford City (Local): 60.32%; Barrow (Visit): 15.31%; Draw: 24.37%. For Barrow (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.114%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%EV -7.11%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 6.54I 15.29%NM 14.51%EV +0.114%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.85%EV -3.00%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -0.499%E -0.077%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.94%EV -8.92%E -5.90%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -0.499%E -0.077%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.499%E -0.077%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -2.03%E -0.317%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -2.03%E -0.317%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.04%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -4.33%E -0.692%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -4.33%E -0.692%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -4.33%E -0.692%K -0.824%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -11.04%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -6.62%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -2.51%E -0.628%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.51%E -0.628%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -8.31%E -5.47%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.17%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.57%EV -7.11%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -11.04%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -12.54%E -8.64%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -2.51%E -0.628%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.13%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -17.14%E -5.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.08%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%EV -9.68%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.97%EV -8.31%E -5.47%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -11.21%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.98%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.98%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -8.31%E -5.47%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.98%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -11.04%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.65%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.64%EV -12.74%E -2.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -2.51%E -0.628%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.65%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.64%EV -12.74%E -2.24%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -2.51%E -0.628%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -14.28%E -2.55%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -14.28%E -2.55%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:42 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.26%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -20.40%E -3.92%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -20.40%E -3.92%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -20.40%E -3.92%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 19:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -23.46%E -4.69%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -23.46%E -4.69%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -23.46%E -4.69%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.15%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -26.52%E -5.53%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -13.48%E -3.80%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.90% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.3% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.68% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.72% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60% | 2.9% | 2026-03-17 19:45 |