La escuela de los momios

Salford City v Barrow

Inicio: 2026-03-17 19:47 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Salford City (Local)

Predicción 60.32%1.66momio equitativo
EV -4.09%
Ventaja -2.57%
Kelly -6.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.15%60.29%60.30%62.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.551.551.5968.97%64.70%64.52%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barrow (Visitante)

Predicción 15.31%6.53momio equitativo
EV +0.114%
Ventaja +0.017%
Kelly +0.021%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.37%15.45%15.33%18.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.776.006.5420.83%17.34%16.67%15.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.37%4.10momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -0.628%
Kelly -0.838%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.60%24.26%24.37%26.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.783.754.0029.41%26.44%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 61.64%EV -7.11%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.51%EV +0.114%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.85%EV -3.00%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -0.499%E -0.077%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 19:44
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 61.94%EV -8.92%E -5.90%K -17.48%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -0.499%E -0.077%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -3.73%E -0.945%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:45
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.05%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.499%E -0.077%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:44
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -2.03%E -0.317%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.20%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -2.03%E -0.317%K -0.376%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.04%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -4.33%E -0.692%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 19:44
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -4.33%E -0.692%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:44
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -4.33%E -0.692%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -11.04%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:44
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -6.62%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -6.90%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:44
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -2.51%E -0.628%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:45
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -6.50%E -4.20%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 19:45
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.51%E -0.628%K -0.838%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:45
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.39%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.67%EV -8.31%E -5.47%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -6.17%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 19:45
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 59.57%EV -7.11%E -4.61%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -11.04%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:44
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:44
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:45
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:45
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -12.54%E -8.64%K -27.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -2.51%E -0.628%K -0.838%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.13%EV -9.52%E -6.35%K -19.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -8.15%E -1.36%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -17.14%E -5.04%K -7.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-17 19:45
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 60.08%EV -5.90%E -3.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.89%EV -9.68%E -1.64%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:44
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.97%EV -8.31%E -5.47%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -11.21%E -1.93%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.98%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:45
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -11.98%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:45
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.50%EV -8.31%E -5.47%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -11.98%E -2.08%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -11.04%E -3.03%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-17 19:45
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.65%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.64%EV -12.74%E -2.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -2.51%E -0.628%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:45
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.65%EV -4.09%E -2.57%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.64%EV -12.74%E -2.24%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -2.51%E -0.628%K -0.838%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -14.28%E -2.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:44
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -14.28%E -2.55%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -4.95%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 19:44
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:45
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:44
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:42
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:44
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:44
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.22%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -8.61%E -2.30%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 19:44
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 58.26%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.98%EV -19.63%E -3.74%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -12.26%E -3.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -20.40%E -3.92%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -4.69%E -2.97%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -20.40%E -3.92%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -20.40%E -3.92%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:44
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -23.46%E -4.69%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -23.46%E -4.69%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -5.30%E -3.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -23.46%E -4.69%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -9.83%E -2.66%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.15%EV -7.71%E -5.04%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -26.52%E -5.53%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -13.48%E -3.80%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-17 19:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-03-17 19:45
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.90%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.82%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.3%2026-03-17 19:45
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 62.68%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.72%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.60%2.9%2026-03-17 19:45