The School of Odds
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Rotherham United v York City

2026-08-22 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rotherham United (Local)

Prediction 36.88%2.71fair odd
EV -0.063%
Edge -0.023%
Kelly -0.037%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.77%36.76%36.96%38.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.492.452.7142.19%40.23%40.82%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

York City (Visit)

Prediction 35.14%2.85fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.886%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.02%35.26%35.04%37.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.622.622.8040.82%38.12%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.98%3.57fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -0.593%
Kelly -0.830%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%27.99%28.00%28.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.323.303.5031.25%30.13%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rotherham United (Local): 36.88%; York City (Visit): 35.14%; Draw: 27.98%. For Rotherham United (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.712. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.710, with an expected value of -0.063%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.77%EV -0.063%E -0.023%K -0.037%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.55%EV -4.31%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 19:45
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -2.28%E -0.859%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -13.90%E -5.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -6.27%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 20:00
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -4.12%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.08%EV -9.68%E -3.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -8.23%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 19:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -4.12%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.08%EV -9.68%E -3.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -8.23%E -2.51%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 19:44
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.81%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -3.35%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.08%E -0.593%K -0.830%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.81%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.08%E -0.593%K -0.830%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:59
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.81%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.92%E -3.02%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 19:18
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.81%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.92%E -3.02%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 19:18
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.65%E -3.94%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.11%E -1.89%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.87%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.65%E -3.94%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -8.62%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.27%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 18:59
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.65%E -3.94%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.62%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 19:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -1.60%E -0.570%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 18:59
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -6.87%E -2.59%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -6.27%E -1.87%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 18:59
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -7.92%E -3.02%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 18:59
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.62%E -3.32%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -7.67%E -2.32%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 19:00
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -12.23%E -5.14%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -12.14%E -4.86%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -9.07%E -2.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.43%EV -12.60%E -5.32%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -3.35%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -10.47%E -3.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 38.27%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.76%16.7%2026-08-15 19:00

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