Language:English
Rotherham United v York City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rotherham United (Local)
Prediction 34.31%2.91fair odd
EV +0.192%
Edge +0.066%
Kelly +0.100%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.00%34.42%34.45%36.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.682.702.9240.00%37.27%37.11%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
York City (Visit)
Prediction 37.94%2.64fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.67%37.79%37.98%39.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.462.452.5542.55%40.65%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.75%3.60fair odd
EV -0.109%
Edge -0.030%
Kelly -0.042%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%27.79%27.58%29.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.303.6033.33%30.52%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rotherham United (Local): 34.31%; York City (Visit): 37.94%; Draw: 27.75%. For Rotherham United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.192%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV +0.192%E +0.066%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -10.08%E -4.25%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.57%EV -9.27%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.18%E -0.410%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -9.70%E -4.08%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.93%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.93%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.93%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -3.93%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.57%EV -5.30%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.95%EV -1.77%E -0.501%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.05%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.05%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 13:52 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.84%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -2.88%E -0.824%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.84%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.45%EV -7.70%E -2.86%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.98%EV -7.43%E -3.04%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -6.77%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 37.56%EV -8.56%E -3.55%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -9.76%E -3.71%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -0.109%E -0.030%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -10.10%E -3.86%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.84%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -12.50%E -4.90%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -15.37%E -5.04%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -12.50%E -4.90%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -15.37%E -5.04%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.74%EV -12.50%E -4.90%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -16.76%E -5.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.74%EV -12.50%E -4.90%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -16.76%E -5.59%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -14.22%E -5.69%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.88%E -0.824%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.34% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.34% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.34% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |