Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rotherham United v York City

Início: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: Rotherham United 1–1 York City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rotherham United (Local)

Previsão 34.31%2.91odd justa
EV +0.192%
Vantagem +0.066%
Kelly +0.100%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.00%34.42%34.45%36.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.682.702.9240.00%37.27%37.11%34.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

York City (Visitante)

Previsão 37.94%2.64odd justa
EV -3.25%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.67%37.79%37.98%39.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.462.452.5542.55%40.65%40.82%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.75%3.60odd justa
EV -0.109%
Vantagem -0.030%
Kelly -0.042%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.85%27.79%27.58%29.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.283.303.6033.33%30.52%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rotherham United (Local): 34.31%; York City (Visitante): 37.94%; Empate: 27.75%. Para Rotherham United (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.91. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.92, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.192%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV +0.192%E +0.066%K +0.100%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.43%EV -10.08%E -4.25%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.57%EV -9.27%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 13:54
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.18%E -0.410%K -0.628%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -9.70%E -4.08%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:55
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.93%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -4.27%E -1.24%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.93%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.93%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -3.93%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:53
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.57%EV -5.30%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.95%EV -1.77%E -0.501%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 13:19
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 13:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.05%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -7.05%E -2.10%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 13:54
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 13:52
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.84%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 13:53
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:19
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -2.88%E -0.824%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:55
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.36%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.84%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -9.82%E -3.02%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.45%EV -7.70%E -2.86%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.98%EV -7.43%E -3.04%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -6.77%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.05%E -2.88%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.56%EV -8.56%E -3.55%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.21%E -3.50%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 13:50
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -9.76%E -3.71%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -8.94%E -3.73%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -0.109%E -0.030%K -0.042%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:55
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -10.10%E -3.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:05
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:05
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:05
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:05
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:05
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -3.25%E -1.28%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.98%E -4.51%K -6.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:05
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.23%EV -10.84%E -4.61%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -8.43%E -2.56%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 13:19
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -12.50%E -4.90%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -15.37%E -5.04%K -7.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -12.50%E -4.90%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -15.37%E -5.04%K -7.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.74%EV -12.50%E -4.90%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -16.76%E -5.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.74%EV -12.50%E -4.90%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -5.91%E -2.38%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -16.76%E -5.59%K -8.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -14.22%E -5.69%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -5.15%E -2.06%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.88%E -0.824%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.75%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.34%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.34%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-22 13:55
Matchbook◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.34%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-22 13:55