Language:English
Rotherham United v Salford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rotherham United (Local)
Prediction 30.42%3.29fair odd
EV +0.387%
Edge +0.117%
Kelly +0.168%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.00%30.61%30.39%32.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.003.003.3036.36%33.34%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Salford City (Visit)
Prediction 43.44%2.30fair odd
EV -0.080%
Edge -0.035%
Kelly -0.061%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%43.31%43.47%44.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.152.3048.78%46.34%46.62%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.14%3.83fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.363%
Kelly +0.489%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.24%26.09%26.13%28.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.8830.77%28.70%28.57%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rotherham United (Local): 30.42%; Salford City (Visit): 43.44%; Draw: 26.14%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.57%EV -12.09%E -4.18%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.17%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.26%EV +1.41%E +0.363%K +0.489%G +0.007% | 6.2% | 2026-09-08 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -14.82%E -5.29%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -0.682%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 12:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -1.99%E -0.530%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.16%EV -13.00%E -4.54%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.98%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.16%EV -13.00%E -4.54%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.98%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 10:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.91%EV -7.90%E -3.73%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.57%EV -4.86%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.46%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.44%EV -4.86%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 14:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 22:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-08 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -2.66%E -0.830%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -2.66%E -0.830%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-07 08:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-07 08:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-07 08:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-07 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-07 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-07 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 10:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-07 14:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 22:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.20%EV -8.33%E -3.95%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 16:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 16:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 09:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV +0.387%E +0.117%K +0.168%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-07 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -14.82%E -5.29%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-07 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -16.34%E -5.94%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.05%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -16.34%E -5.94%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -16.34%E -5.94%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-07 14:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04% | 5.2% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |