Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rotherham United v Salford City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 14:00 UTC

Score final : Rotherham United 3–3 Salford City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rotherham United (Local)

Prévision 30.42%3.29cote équitable
EV +0.387%
Avantage +0.117%
Kelly +0.168%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.00%30.61%30.39%32.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.003.003.3036.36%33.34%33.33%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Salford City (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.44%2.30cote équitable
EV -0.080%
Avantage -0.035%
Kelly -0.061%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.05%43.31%43.47%44.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.162.152.3048.78%46.34%46.62%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.14%3.83cote équitable
EV +1.41%
Avantage +0.363%
Kelly +0.489%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.24%26.09%26.13%28.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.483.503.8830.77%28.70%28.57%25.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rotherham United (Local) : 30.42% ; Salford City (Visiteur) : 43.44% ; Match nul : 26.14%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.83. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.88, soit une espérance positive de +1.41%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.57%EV -12.09%E -4.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.17%EV -5.29%E -2.43%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.26%EV +1.41%E +0.363%K +0.489%G +0.007%6.2%2026-09-08 16:50
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -14.82%E -5.29%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -0.682%E -0.180%K -0.244%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 12:15
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -1.99%E -0.530%K -0.723%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.16%EV -13.00%E -4.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.98%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.16%EV -13.00%E -4.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.98%EV -7.03%E -3.29%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -3.30%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 10:44
1xBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.91%EV -7.90%E -3.73%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.57%EV -4.86%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.46%EV -7.52%E -2.47%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.44%EV -4.86%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 14:24
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 22:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 22:50
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -2.66%E -0.830%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 08:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -2.66%E -0.830%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 08:40
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 08:39
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 08:38
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 14:20
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 22:50
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 14:24
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 14:25
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 14:15
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 14:20
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -9.64%E -4.63%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 10:54
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 16:45
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -10.94%E -5.34%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.52%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-07 14:15
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 22:49
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.20%EV -8.33%E -3.95%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 10:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:05
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -0.080%E -0.035%K -0.061%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 14:10
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:05
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:04
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 16:40
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.60%E -3.07%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 16:43
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 09:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV +0.387%E +0.117%K +0.168%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 16:55
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 14:15
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.77%E -4.18%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 14:15
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.22%EV -14.82%E -5.29%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.45%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-07 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -16.34%E -5.94%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.05%EV -3.12%E -1.40%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-07 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -16.34%E -5.94%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-07 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -16.34%E -5.94%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -4.42%E -2.01%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-07 14:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.81%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%5.2%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%5.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%5.8%2026-09-09 16:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%5.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%6.8%2026-09-09 17:21