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Rotherham United v Crawley Town

2026-11-14 15:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rotherham United (Local)

Prediction 45.49%2.20fair odd
EV -6.74%
Edge -3.29%
Kelly -6.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.92%46.58%45.42%51.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.871.812.0557.14%53.43%55.25%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Crawley Town (Visit)

Prediction 28.45%3.51fair odd
EV +12.39%
Edge +3.14%
Kelly +4.20%
Growth +0.520%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.57%27.56%28.65%28.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.683.883.9531.75%27.17%25.81%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.05%3.84fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -0.837%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.87%25.86%25.94%26.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.653.673.7528.57%27.42%27.21%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rotherham United (Local): 45.49%; Crawley Town (Visit): 28.45%; Draw: 26.05%. For Crawley Town (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. 12 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.95, producing a positive expected value of +12.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 17:20
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-09 17:18
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.23%EV -19.93%E -11.32%K -26.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +8.12%E +2.14%K +2.90%G +0.236%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-09 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -20.39%E -11.65%K -27.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV +8.12%E +2.14%K +2.90%G +0.236%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-09 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -20.39%E -11.65%K -27.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV +8.12%E +2.14%K +2.90%G +0.236%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-09 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.80%EV -8.56%E -4.26%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-09 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-09 17:20
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-09 17:20
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-09 17:20
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.01%E -4.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-09 17:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.20%EV -8.56%E -4.26%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-09 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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