默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rotherham United v Crawley Town

2026-11-14 15:00 UTC — League 2

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

45%

28%

26%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Rotherham United (主队)

预测 45.49%2.20公平赔率

EV -6.74%

优势 -3.29%

Kelly -6.42%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布

44.92%46.58%45.42%51.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.751.871.812.0557.14%53.43%55.25%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

Crawley Town (客队)

预测 28.45%3.51公平赔率

EV +12.39%

优势 +3.14%

Kelly +4.20%

增长率 +0.520%

假设最高赔率为 3.95

博彩公司预测分布

23.57%27.56%28.65%28.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.153.683.883.9531.75%27.17%25.81%25.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.05%3.84公平赔率

EV -2.30%

优势 -0.614%

Kelly -0.837%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布

24.87%25.86%25.94%26.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.503.653.673.7528.57%27.42%27.21%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Rotherham United (主队)：45.49%；Crawley Town (客队)：28.45%；平局：26.05%。对于“Crawley Town (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.51。有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.95，由此产生+12.39%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	平局	利润率	更新时间
Unibet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-09 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-09 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-09 17:20
BetRivers🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-09 17:20
TABtouch🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-09 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-09 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-09 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-09 17:20
betPARX🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -17.66%E -9.75%K -21.80%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV +12.39%E +3.14%K +4.20%G +0.520%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -2.30%E -0.614%K -0.837%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-11-09 17:18
Grosvenor🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.23%EV -19.93%E -11.32%K -26.22%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV +8.12%E +2.14%K +2.90%G +0.236%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-11-09 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -20.39%E -11.65%K -27.18%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV +8.12%E +2.14%K +2.90%G +0.236%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-11-09 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -20.39%E -11.65%K -27.18%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV +8.12%E +2.14%K +2.90%G +0.236%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-11-09 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 45.80%EV -8.56%E -4.26%K -8.47%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-11-09 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.53%E -2.32%K -3.35%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-11-09 17:20
LeoVegas🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -8.10%E -4.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-11-09 17:20
Fanatics🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.74%E -3.29%K -6.42%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-11-09 17:20
picklebet_au🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.01%E -4.51%K -9.01%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.95%E -2.80%K -4.07%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-11-09 17:20
Codere (IT)🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 45.20%EV -8.56%E -4.26%K -8.47%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.37%E -3.29%K -4.82%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-11-09 17:20

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

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