Language:English
Rochdale v Shrewsbury Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rochdale (Local)
Prediction 41.49%2.41fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.705%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.69%41.54%41.52%44.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.192.212.3750.51%45.63%45.25%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shrewsbury Town (Visit)
Prediction 30.29%3.30fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.479%
Kelly -0.692%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.59%30.25%30.18%31.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.31%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.22%3.54fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.351%
Kelly -0.492%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.00%28.22%28.31%29.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.273.303.5032.26%30.58%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rochdale (Local): 41.49%; Shrewsbury Town (Visit): 30.29%; Draw: 28.22%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.23%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -1.67%E -0.705%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -1.67%E -0.705%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.64%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.84%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.52%EV -2.08%E -0.598%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -2.91%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -2.91%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -5.82%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -5.19%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -8.85%E -2.74%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.23%E -0.351%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -1.23%E -0.351%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -7.89%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -7.89%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -4.89%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -8.00%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.42%EV -9.14%E -4.17%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -9.55%E -4.38%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -3.07%E -0.960%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-01 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -17.02%E -8.51%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -17.85%E -9.02%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -3.07%E -0.960%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -17.85%E -9.02%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -3.07%E -0.960%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 18:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14% | 1.5% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |