Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rochdale v Shrewsbury Town

Início: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Final: Rochdale 3–0 Shrewsbury Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rochdale (Local)

Previsão 41.49%2.41odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.705%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.69%41.54%41.52%44.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.982.192.212.3750.51%45.63%45.25%42.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shrewsbury Town (Visitante)

Previsão 30.29%3.30odd justa
EV -1.56%
Vantagem -0.479%
Kelly -0.692%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.59%30.25%30.18%31.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.31%32.26%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.22%3.54odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.351%
Kelly -0.492%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.00%28.22%28.31%29.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.273.303.5032.26%30.58%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rochdale (Local): 41.49%; Shrewsbury Town (Visitante): 30.29%; Empate: 28.22%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.54. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.50, com valor esperado de -1.23%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -1.67%E -0.705%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -1.67%E -0.705%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 18:00
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.64%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.84%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.52%EV -2.08%E -0.598%K -0.840%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 18:15
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:00
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -2.91%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.82%EV -2.91%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-01 18:30
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 18:39
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 18:40
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -5.82%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -5.19%E -1.66%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -8.85%E -2.74%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -1.23%E -0.351%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -1.23%E -0.351%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 18:05
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:05
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -7.61%E -2.50%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-01 18:05
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:33
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -7.89%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:30
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -7.89%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.49%EV -4.89%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -8.00%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:30
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:35
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -10.64%E -3.61%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.46%E -1.63%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 18:05
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.72%E -3.97%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.42%EV -9.14%E -4.17%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.24%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.35%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -9.55%E -4.38%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.10%E -1.97%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -3.07%E -0.960%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 18:30
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.13%E -3.04%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.80%E -5.02%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 18:05
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:10
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:10
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.87%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:25
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -16.19%E -8.02%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -17.02%E -8.51%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -1.56%E -0.479%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -8.28%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -17.85%E -9.02%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -3.07%E -0.960%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -17.85%E -9.02%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -3.07%E -0.960%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 18:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-09-01 18:40