Language:English
Rochdale v Oldham Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rochdale (Local)
Prediction 25.76%3.88fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.751%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.16%25.81%25.77%27.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.503.8030.77%28.42%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oldham Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 48.16%2.08fair odd
EV -0.305%
Edge -0.147%
Kelly -0.285%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.83%48.02%48.23%49.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.951.942.0754.05%51.25%51.41%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.08%3.83fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.591%
Kelly -0.805%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%26.16%26.01%27.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.503.7530.77%28.65%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rochdale (Local): 25.76%; Oldham Athletic (Visit): 48.16%; Draw: 26.08%. For Oldham Athletic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.07, with an expected value of -0.305%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -2.10%E -0.554%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.40%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.52%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -2.10%E -0.554%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -10.90%E -5.89%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 12:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 07:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 21:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-15 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -5.97%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.52%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 11:33 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.97%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-18 10:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.29%EV -6.23%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.71%EV -8.97%E -4.75%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.00%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 10:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 01:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 04:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -2.22%E -0.591%K -0.805%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 11:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-18 11:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 09:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.49%E -4.47%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 08:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 11:37 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -8.97%E -4.75%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-17 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 11:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.52%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 01:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.52%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 11:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.52%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 04:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 01:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 04:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-16 04:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.49%E -4.47%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-18 12:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.94%E -5.31%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-15 21:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -6.57%E -3.38%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-16 01:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -0.305%E -0.147%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -0.305%E -0.147%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-16 01:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.94%E -5.31%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 01:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-16 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -16.27%E -5.01%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-16 08:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -16.27%E -5.01%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -5.12%E -2.60%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-15 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 1.1% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |