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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Rochdale v Oldham Athletic

Início: 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC

Final: Rochdale 2–0 Oldham Athletic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rochdale (Local)

Previsão 25.76%3.88odd justa
EV -2.10%
Vantagem -0.554%
Kelly -0.751%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.16%25.81%25.77%27.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.523.503.8030.77%28.42%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oldham Athletic (Visitante)

Previsão 48.16%2.08odd justa
EV -0.305%
Vantagem -0.147%
Kelly -0.285%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.83%48.02%48.23%49.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.851.951.942.0754.05%51.25%51.41%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.08%3.83odd justa
EV -2.22%
Vantagem -0.591%
Kelly -0.805%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.97%26.16%26.01%27.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.493.503.7530.77%28.65%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rochdale (Local): 25.76%; Oldham Athletic (Visitante): 48.16%; Empate: 26.08%. Para Oldham Athletic (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.08. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.07, com valor esperado de -0.305%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -2.10%E -0.554%K -0.751%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.40%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -3.52%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -2.10%E -0.554%K -0.751%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -10.90%E -5.89%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:05
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 12:43
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-18 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.73%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:25
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 07:59
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 21:05
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 21:05
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -5.97%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.52%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 11:33
1xBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -5.97%E -1.64%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.48%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.16%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 10:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 25.29%EV -6.23%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.71%EV -8.97%E -4.75%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.00%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 10:25
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 01:03
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-16 04:06
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -2.22%E -0.591%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 11:34
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 11:40
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 09:39
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.49%E -4.47%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 08:00
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -10.04%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-18 11:37
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -8.97%E -4.75%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-17 19:40
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 11:35
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.26%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.52%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 01:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.52%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-16 11:31
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -3.52%E -0.951%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 04:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 04:10
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-16 01:05
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 04:09
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -7.53%E -3.92%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-16 04:05
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -8.49%E -4.47%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 12:45
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.83%E -2.81%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.94%E -5.31%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-15 21:05
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.13%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 04:10
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -11.12%E -3.22%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.25%EV -6.57%E -3.38%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-16 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -0.305%E -0.147%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -0.305%E -0.147%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -11.34%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-16 01:05
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -12.41%E -3.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -9.94%E -5.31%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.73%E -2.50%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 01:05
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 11:20
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 11:20
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 11:20
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 11:20
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.99%E -4.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.95%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-16 11:20
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -16.27%E -5.01%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -3.68%E -1.84%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -16.27%E -5.01%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -5.12%E -2.60%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-15 18:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-09-18 13:20
Matchbook◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-09-18 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-09-18 15:20