Language:English
Rochdale v Crawley Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rochdale (Local)
Prediction 51.46%1.94fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.892%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.83%51.38%51.61%53.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.831.9158.82%54.85%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crawley Town (Visit)
Prediction 23.13%4.32fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.249%
Kelly +0.323%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.40%23.18%23.10%25.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.924.004.3728.57%25.54%25.00%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.40%3.94fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.770%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.15%25.44%25.29%27.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.603.8530.30%28.03%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rochdale (Local): 51.46%; Crawley Town (Visit): 23.13%; Draw: 25.40%. For Crawley Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.84%EV -8.91%E -5.03%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.40%EV +1.09%E +0.249%K +0.323%G +0.004% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.76%EV -7.78%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.12%EV -7.88%E -4.40%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -0.532%E -0.124%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.76%EV -2.45%E -0.638%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.85%E -0.677%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.85%E -0.677%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -12.51%E -7.36%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.85%E -0.677%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -3.47%E -0.912%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -2.20%E -0.570%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:33 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.88%E -4.40%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.88%E -4.40%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -8.39%E -4.72%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.32%EV -7.02%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.81%EV -8.91%E -5.03%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 13:53 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -1.70%E -0.892%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.34%E -3.48%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.47%E -0.912%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.97%E -6.34%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -14.90%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -3.76%E -2.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -10.45%E -6.01%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.13%EV -6.85%E -3.78%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -10.94%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.36%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -12.10%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.47%E -0.912%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -2.73%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-17 15:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.83%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -17.88%E -5.04%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.90%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.96%EV -3.76%E -2.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -17.88%E -5.04%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -14.90%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -19.04%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.17%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -19.04%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.17%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-17 15:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.84% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.97% | 0.1% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |