Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rochdale v Crawley Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Score final : Rochdale 1–2 Crawley Town

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rochdale (Local)

Prévision 51.46%1.94cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.892%
Kelly -1.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.83%51.38%51.61%53.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.821.831.9158.82%54.85%54.64%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Crawley Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.13%4.32cote équitable
EV +1.09%
Avantage +0.249%
Kelly +0.323%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.40%23.18%23.10%25.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.924.004.3728.57%25.54%25.00%22.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.40%3.94cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -0.570%
Kelly -0.770%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.15%25.44%25.29%27.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.573.603.8530.30%28.03%27.78%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rochdale (Local) : 51.46% ; Crawley Town (Visiteur) : 23.13% ; Match nul : 25.40%. Pour Crawley Town (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.32. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.37, soit une espérance positive de +1.09%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.84%EV -8.91%E -5.03%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.40%EV +1.09%E +0.249%K +0.323%G +0.004%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.76%EV -7.78%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:54
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.12%EV -7.88%E -4.40%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -0.532%E -0.124%K -0.161%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.76%EV -2.45%E -0.638%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.85%E -0.677%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -2.85%E -0.677%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -12.51%E -7.36%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.85%E -0.677%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -3.47%E -0.912%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 12:54
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -2.20%E -0.570%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:54
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:38
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:33
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.88%E -4.40%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -7.88%E -4.40%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 12:55
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 13:09
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.07%EV -8.39%E -4.72%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.32%EV -7.02%E -1.92%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:05
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.01%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:50
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.81%EV -8.91%E -5.03%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -5.16%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -9.82%E -2.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:53
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -1.70%E -0.892%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 13:55
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.34%E -3.48%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 12:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 12:54
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.47%E -0.912%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 13:05
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -10.97%E -6.34%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -4.74%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 12:59
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -7.47%E -1.87%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -14.90%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 13:55
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -3.76%E -2.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 12:54
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.57%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 13:24
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:05
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -5.82%E -3.18%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.09%E -3.17%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:05
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.83%EV -10.45%E -6.01%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -9.78%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -8.55%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.13%EV -6.85%E -3.78%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -10.94%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -12.36%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 13:25
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.36%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -12.10%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.47%E -0.912%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 13:54
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -2.73%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-17 15:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:29
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:29
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:29
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:29
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -16.72%E -4.65%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.63%E -4.01%K -5.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-17 15:50
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.83%EV -3.25%E -1.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -17.88%E -5.04%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -14.90%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-17 15:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.96%EV -3.76%E -2.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -17.88%E -5.04%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -14.90%E -4.45%K -6.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-17 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -19.04%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.17%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-17 15:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -4.79%E -2.59%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -19.04%E -5.44%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -16.17%E -4.90%K -7.03%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-17 15:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.84%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.97%0.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-08-22 13:55