The School of Odds
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Port Vale v Grimsby Town

2026-10-10 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Port Vale (Local)

Prediction 38.37%2.61fair odd
EV -5.22%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -3.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.81%38.51%38.25%39.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.372.402.4743.48%42.14%41.67%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grimsby Town (Visit)

Prediction 33.62%2.97fair odd
EV -5.18%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.43%33.64%33.67%35.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.702.8238.46%36.71%37.04%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.00%3.57fair odd
EV +3.89%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.44%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.59%27.86%28.08%28.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.403.7131.25%29.56%29.41%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Port Vale (Local): 38.37%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 33.62%; Draw: 28.00%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.71, producing a positive expected value of +3.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.24%EV -7.14%E -2.95%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.17%EV -9.22%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.59%EV +3.89%E +1.05%K +1.44%G +0.056%5.3%2026-10-03 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.85%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.99%E -0.569%K -0.796%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 15:00
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.85%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.99%E -0.569%K -0.796%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.99%E -0.569%K -0.796%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 16:20
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.85%E -2.09%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 15:00
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.82%E -4.18%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 15:30
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -9.82%E -4.18%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.22%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-03 15:00
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.58%E -4.84%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 18:02
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -11.74%E -5.10%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.22%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 15:21
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -11.74%E -5.10%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.22%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 16:20
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -11.74%E -5.10%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.22%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -11.74%E -5.10%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.22%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -11.74%E -5.10%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.22%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.79%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 17:20
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 19:25
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.82%E -4.18%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.19%E -1.85%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 15:00
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.17%EV -5.22%E -2.11%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -5.18%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.40%EV -7.03%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.24%EV -7.52%E -3.12%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.00%EV -8.88%E -3.28%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.76%EV -7.03%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-03 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.98%E -2.44%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.53%E -2.74%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-03 15:00
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.74%E -5.10%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.57%E -4.40%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -8.99%E -2.77%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-03 15:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -7.90%E -3.29%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.22%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-03 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.67%E -3.64%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.22%E -3.41%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.39%E -3.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-03 15:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-03 15:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-03 15:41