Language:English
Port Vale v Grimsby Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Port Vale (Local)
Prediction 38.22%2.62fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.19%38.43%38.18%41.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.362.402.5045.87%42.37%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grimsby Town (Visit)
Prediction 33.59%2.98fair odd
EV +4.13%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.97%
Growth +0.081%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%33.44%33.59%34.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.802.753.1038.17%35.68%36.36%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.19%3.55fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.384%
Kelly -0.537%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%28.13%28.23%29.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.273.253.5032.26%30.58%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Vale (Local): 38.22%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 33.59%; Draw: 28.19%. For Grimsby Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.13%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -12.86%E -5.64%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +4.13%E +1.33%K +1.97%G +0.081% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -12.86%E -5.64%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV +4.13%E +1.33%K +1.97%G +0.081% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -15.91%E -7.23%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV +0.774%E +0.258%K +0.387%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -15.91%E -7.23%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV +0.774%E +0.258%K +0.387%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -15.91%E -7.23%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV +0.774%E +0.258%K +0.387%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -15.91%E -7.23%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV +0.774%E +0.258%K +0.387%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -15.91%E -7.23%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV +0.774%E +0.258%K +0.387%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -15.91%E -7.23%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV +0.774%E +0.258%K +0.387%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -15.91%E -7.23%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV +0.774%E +0.258%K +0.387%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -15.91%E -7.23%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV +0.774%E +0.258%K +0.387%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -15.91%E -7.23%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV +0.774%E +0.258%K +0.387%G +0.003% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -15.91%E -7.23%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV +0.774%E +0.258%K +0.387%G +0.003% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.95%EV -16.68%E -7.65%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -0.906%E -0.307%K -0.464%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.34%E -0.384%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 08:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.34%E -0.384%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-03 20:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -5.94%E -2.12%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.59%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.93%EV -6.95%E -2.51%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 07:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.45%E -1.78%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 07:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.34%E -0.384%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.34%E -0.384%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 07:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-04 07:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 07:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 07:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 12:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.62%E -2.77%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -8.63%E -3.17%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 07:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -8.63%E -3.17%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 07:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.24%EV -7.89%E -3.27%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.00%EV -8.97%E -3.31%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.76%EV -6.42%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.24%EV -7.89%E -3.27%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.00%EV -8.97%E -3.31%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.76%EV -6.42%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-03 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.18%E -4.33%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.30%E -3.45%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 15:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.30%E -3.45%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 07:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.30%E -3.45%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 07:36 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.30%E -3.45%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 07:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.30%E -3.45%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 07:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.30%E -3.45%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 10:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.30%E -3.45%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 10:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.30%E -3.45%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-04 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.30%E -3.45%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-03 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -9.03%E -3.80%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.30%E -3.45%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.27%E -3.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -10.98%E -4.14%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -12.09%E -5.26%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.65%E -4.43%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-03 15:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -11.99%E -4.58%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 06:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.36%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -11.99%E -4.58%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 06:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 37.65% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 33.54% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 28.81% | 16.5% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 40.96% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 40.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 18.37% | 75.6% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 40.96% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 40.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 18.37% | 75.6% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 40.96% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 40.67% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 18.37% | 75.6% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |