Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Port Vale v Grimsby Town

2026-10-10 14:00 UTC — League 2

Testa a testa

25 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Port Vale (Casa)

Previsione 38.34%2.61quota equa
EV -5.31%
Vantaggio -2.15%
Kelly -3.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.81%38.47%38.15%39.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.382.402.4743.48%42.04%41.67%40.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Grimsby Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.54%2.98quota equa
EV -5.42%
Vantaggio -1.92%
Kelly -2.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.98%33.51%33.53%35.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.732.712.8238.46%36.65%36.90%35.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.13%3.56quota equa
EV +4.35%
Vantaggio +1.17%
Kelly +1.61%
Crescita +0.070%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.59%28.02%28.32%28.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.363.403.7131.25%29.73%29.41%26.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Port Vale (Casa): 38.34%; Grimsby Town (Trasferta): 33.54%; Pareggio: 28.13%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.56. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 3.71, con un valore atteso positivo del +4.35%.

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.24%EV -7.23%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.17%EV -9.45%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.59%EV +4.35%E +1.17%K +1.61%G +0.070%5.3%2026-10-03 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.09%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.56%E -0.445%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 15:00
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.09%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.56%E -0.445%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.77%E -2.83%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.56%E -0.445%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 16:20
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.09%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 15:00
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.77%E -2.83%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 15:30
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.45%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-03 15:00
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.80%E -4.92%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 18:02
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.80%E -4.92%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-03 20:10
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -11.83%E -5.14%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.45%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 15:21
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -11.83%E -5.14%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.45%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 16:20
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -11.83%E -5.14%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.45%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -11.83%E -5.14%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.45%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -11.83%E -5.14%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.45%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-03 17:20
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.77%E -2.83%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.78%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 19:25
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -9.91%E -4.22%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -7.77%E -2.83%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -5.78%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-03 15:00
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.17%EV -5.31%E -2.15%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.43%EV -5.42%E -1.92%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.40%EV -6.62%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.24%EV -7.61%E -3.16%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.00%EV -9.11%E -3.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.76%EV -6.62%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-03 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.08%E -2.48%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.77%E -2.83%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-03 15:00
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.09%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-03 20:10
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.83%E -5.14%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.80%E -4.49%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-03 15:24
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -7.23%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -6.09%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 20:25
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.16%EV -7.23%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -6.09%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 20:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -7.99%E -3.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.45%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-03 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.76%E -3.68%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.45%E -3.50%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -9.99%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 16:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-03 15:41
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-03 15:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-03 15:41