Language:English
Oldham Athletic v Swindon Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oldham Athletic (Local)
Prediction 51.44%1.94fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.921%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.26%51.28%51.49%54.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.811.9158.82%54.87%55.40%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Swindon Town (Visit)
Prediction 22.40%4.46fair odd
EV -0.987%
Edge -0.223%
Kelly -0.289%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.93%22.54%22.37%25.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.984.054.4228.99%25.13%24.69%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.16%3.82fair odd
EV -0.577%
Edge -0.152%
Kelly -0.206%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.53%26.18%26.13%27.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.8030.30%28.65%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oldham Athletic (Local): 51.44%; Swindon Town (Visit): 22.40%; Draw: 26.16%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -0.577%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.88%E -3.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 06:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-26 03:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-26 03:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-26 03:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-26 03:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-26 03:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-26 03:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-26 03:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-26 03:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-26 03:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.52%EV -2.79%E -1.47%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-26 03:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -3.30%E -1.76%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-26 03:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -22.72%E -6.58%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-26 03:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -22.72%E -6.58%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-26 03:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 12:56 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.89%E -0.503%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 12:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 12:56 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.56%EV -6.90%E -3.81%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.52%EV -0.987%E -0.223%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.92%EV -3.98%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -6.90%E -3.81%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -6.90%E -3.81%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 12:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.23%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.37%EV -6.36%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.40%EV -3.72%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.76%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 13:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.45%E -4.74%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.45%E -4.74%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.81%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.577%E -0.152%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 13:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -10.50%E -6.04%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 13:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -10.50%E -6.04%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -12.56%E -7.39%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -1.44%E -0.326%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23% | 0.4% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23% | 0.4% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23% | 0.4% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23% | 0.4% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.25% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |