Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oldham Athletic v Swindon Town

Início: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Final: Oldham Athletic 3–0 Swindon Town

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Previsão 51.44%1.94odd justa
EV -1.76%
Vantagem -0.921%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.26%51.28%51.49%54.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.821.811.9158.82%54.87%55.40%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Swindon Town (Visitante)

Previsão 22.40%4.46odd justa
EV -0.987%
Vantagem -0.223%
Kelly -0.289%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.93%22.54%22.37%25.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.984.054.4228.99%25.13%24.69%22.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.16%3.82odd justa
EV -0.577%
Vantagem -0.152%
Kelly -0.206%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.53%26.18%26.13%27.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.493.503.8030.30%28.65%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Oldham Athletic (Local): 51.44%; Swindon Town (Visitante): 22.40%; Empate: 26.16%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.82. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.80, com valor esperado de -0.577%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -14.88%E -3.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 06:55
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-26 03:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-26 03:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-26 03:44
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-26 03:44
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-26 03:49
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-26 03:49
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-26 03:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-26 03:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.26%EV -1.76%E -0.921%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-26 03:44
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.52%EV -2.79%E -1.47%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-26 03:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.66%EV -3.30%E -1.76%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -21.60%E -6.17%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -12.35%E -3.69%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-26 03:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -22.72%E -6.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-26 03:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -3.82%E -2.04%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -22.72%E -6.58%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.66%E -4.14%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-26 03:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 12:55
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 12:56
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -4.85%E -2.62%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:00
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.89%E -0.503%K -0.686%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 12:55
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.87%E -3.21%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 12:56
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:35
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -6.39%E -3.51%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:35
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.56%EV -6.90%E -3.81%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.52%EV -0.987%E -0.223%K -0.289%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.92%EV -3.98%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -6.90%E -3.81%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -6.90%E -3.81%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:05
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:00
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 12:59
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:35
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.10%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:54
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:35
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -7.42%E -4.12%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:05
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.23%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.37%EV -6.36%E -1.52%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.40%EV -3.72%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.76%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.86%EV -7.93%E -4.43%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.45%E -4.74%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:40
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -8.45%E -4.74%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:40
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 13:35
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.81%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -8.16%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.12%E -2.01%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:49
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -8.96%E -5.06%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 13:40
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.92%E -1.41%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -0.577%E -0.152%K -0.206%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:05
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -3.00%E -0.694%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 13:45
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.99%E -5.71%K -13.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:00
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -10.50%E -6.04%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -3.68%E -0.855%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 13:04
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -10.50%E -6.04%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -10.40%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.43%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-29 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -12.56%E -7.39%K -17.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -1.44%E -0.326%K -0.422%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -3.19%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.4%2026-08-29 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.4%2026-08-29 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.4%2026-08-29 13:40
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.57%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.4%2026-08-29 13:35
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.25%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-08-29 13:55