Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oldham Athletic v Salford City

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Final: Oldham Athletic 1–2 Salford City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Prediction 29.76%3.36fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -0.822%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.91%29.95%29.70%32.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.023.103.2737.04%33.16%32.26%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salford City (Visit)

Prediction 42.45%2.36fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.466%
Kelly -0.816%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.40%42.34%42.51%44.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.182.3350.00%45.72%45.87%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.79%3.60fair odd
EV +2.81%
Edge +0.761%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.28%27.71%27.79%28.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.303.7033.33%30.18%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oldham Athletic (Local): 29.76%; Salford City (Visit): 42.45%; Draw: 27.79%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV +2.81%E +0.761%K +1.04%G +0.029%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.27%EV -2.98%E -0.915%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -7.45%E -3.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -1.63%E -0.461%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -2.74%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.77%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.00%E -4.72%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.77%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -8.30%E -3.84%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -8.30%E -3.84%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -12.97%E -6.33%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 14:00
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.71%EV -7.15%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.53%EV -7.45%E -3.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
1xBet🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 28.64%EV -2.69%E -0.822%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.16%EV -7.88%E -3.63%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -7.74%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:58
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -1.08%E -0.466%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -1.08%E -0.466%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -1.08%E -0.466%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -1.08%E -0.466%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -1.08%E -0.466%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -1.08%E -0.466%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -15.19%E -5.33%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -18.16%E -6.60%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -4.48%E -1.99%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -18.16%E -6.60%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -4.48%E -1.99%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -18.16%E -6.60%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -4.48%E -1.99%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -19.65%E -7.28%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -5.33%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -9.15%E -4.28%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -12.47%E -3.96%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 30.44%EV -13.10%E -4.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.34%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.22%EV -12.47%E -3.96%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.09%E -7.55%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.86%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.09%E -7.55%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -16.64%E -5.55%K -8.32%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%3.5%2026-04-18 14:00