La escuela de los momios

Oldham Athletic v Salford City

Inicio: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Final: Oldham Athletic 1–2 Salford City

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Predicción 29.76%3.36momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -0.822%
Kelly -1.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.91%29.95%29.70%32.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.023.103.2737.04%33.16%32.26%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Salford City (Visitante)

Predicción 42.45%2.36momio equitativo
EV -1.08%
Ventaja -0.466%
Kelly -0.816%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.40%42.34%42.51%44.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.192.182.3350.00%45.72%45.87%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.79%3.60momio equitativo
EV +2.81%
Ventaja +0.761%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.28%27.71%27.79%28.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.303.7033.33%30.18%30.30%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV +2.81%E +0.761%K +1.04%G +0.029%6.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.27%EV -2.98%E -0.915%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -7.45%E -3.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -1.63%E -0.461%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 13:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -2.74%E -0.784%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -4.77%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -10.00%E -4.72%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.13%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.77%E -1.49%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -8.30%E -3.84%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -8.30%E -3.84%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.28%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -12.97%E -6.33%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.52%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 14:00
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 14:00
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.98%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -6.91%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.71%EV -7.15%E -2.29%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.53%EV -7.45%E -3.42%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -7.19%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:59
1xBet3.27I 30.58%NM 28.64%EV -2.69%E -0.822%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.16%EV -7.88%E -3.63%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -7.74%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 13:58
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -1.08%E -0.466%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -1.08%E -0.466%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -1.08%E -0.466%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -1.08%E -0.466%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -1.08%E -0.466%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -1.08%E -0.466%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 13:59
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -16.67%E -5.95%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -9.23%E -3.03%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.44%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -15.19%E -5.33%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.30%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.85%E -5.17%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -18.16%E -6.60%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -4.48%E -1.99%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -18.16%E -6.60%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -4.48%E -1.99%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -18.16%E -6.60%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -4.48%E -1.99%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.69%E -2.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.60%E -3.00%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 32.74%EV -19.65%E -7.28%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.64%EV -5.33%E -2.39%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -11.08%E -3.46%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -6.26%E -1.99%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.40%EV -9.15%E -4.28%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -12.47%E -3.96%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 30.44%EV -13.10%E -4.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.34%EV -8.73%E -4.06%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.22%EV -12.47%E -3.96%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 14:00
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -10.72%E -3.57%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.09%E -7.55%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.86%E -4.47%K -6.60%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -7.75%E -2.50%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -15.09%E -7.55%K -15.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -16.64%E -5.55%K -8.32%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.77%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.17%2.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.84%3.5%2026-04-18 14:00