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Oldham Athletic v Milton Keynes Dons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oldham Athletic (Local)
Prediction 32.00%3.12fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.571%
Kelly -0.847%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.22%32.17%31.75%35.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.842.883.0738.46%35.26%34.72%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Milton Keynes Dons (Visit)
Prediction 39.39%2.54fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.937%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.09%39.22%39.59%40.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.402.4845.45%41.93%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.61%3.50fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.89%28.62%28.66%30.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.253.4034.72%30.83%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oldham Athletic (Local): 32.00%; Milton Keynes Dons (Visit): 39.39%; Draw: 28.61%. For Oldham Athletic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.07, with an expected value of -1.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.08%EV -1.75%E -0.571%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.43%EV -7.05%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.48%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -2.39%E -0.784%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -2.72%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -2.39%E -0.784%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -2.72%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -7.84%E -3.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -7.87%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -4.63%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.63%E -3.72%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -4.63%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.63%E -3.72%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.23%EV -4.95%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.97%EV -8.63%E -3.72%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -7.87%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -5.59%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.59%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.59%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%EV -13.35%E -6.07%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -17.60%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -8.15%E -2.84%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.79%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.79%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.79%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.79%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -7.44%E -3.17%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 19:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 19:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -16.79%E -6.46%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 19:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -16.79%E -6.46%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -16.79%E -6.46%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 19:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 1.5% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.60% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.18% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21% | 3.7% | 2026-04-06 13:50 |