La escuela de los momios

Oldham Athletic v Milton Keynes Dons

Inicio: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Predicción 32.00%3.12momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.571%
Kelly -0.847%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.22%32.17%31.75%35.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.842.883.0738.46%35.26%34.72%32.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)

Predicción 39.39%2.54momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.937%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.09%39.22%39.59%40.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.392.402.4845.45%41.93%41.67%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.61%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -0.800%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.89%28.62%28.66%30.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.253.4034.72%30.83%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.07I 32.57%NM 31.08%EV -1.75%E -0.571%K -0.847%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.43%EV -7.05%E -2.99%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.48%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 13:50
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -2.39%E -0.784%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -2.72%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:50
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.57%EV -2.39%E -0.784%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.12%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -2.72%E -0.800%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:50
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 13:49
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:50
1xBet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -4.31%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -7.84%E -3.35%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.96%EV -7.87%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:50
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -4.63%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.63%E -3.72%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:49
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -4.63%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.63%E -3.72%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:49
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.23%EV -4.95%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.97%EV -8.63%E -3.72%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.80%EV -7.87%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:50
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -5.59%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.53%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.59%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:50
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -5.59%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 13:50
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.26%E -2.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:50
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 13:50
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.41%E -4.09%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-06 13:50
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 13:49
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:50
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -11.38%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.56%EV -13.35%E -6.07%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -17.60%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -8.15%E -2.84%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:50
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -8.79%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.79%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.79%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -8.79%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:50
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -7.44%E -3.17%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:50
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:49
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -5.48%E -2.28%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:49
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 19:01
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 19:05
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 19:01
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 19:04
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 19:04
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 19:04
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -15.83%E -6.02%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.11%EV -2.32%E -0.937%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 19:01
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -16.79%E -6.46%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 19:04
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -16.79%E -6.46%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 19:01
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -16.79%E -6.46%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -3.51%E -1.43%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 19:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%1.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%1.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%1.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.60%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.18%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.21%3.7%2026-04-06 13:50