Language:English
Oldham Athletic v Grimsby Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oldham Athletic (Local)
Prediction 37.12%2.69fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.80%37.13%37.11%38.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.492.502.6041.67%40.09%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grimsby Town (Visit)
Prediction 34.35%2.91fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.860%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.97%34.28%34.40%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8440.00%36.98%37.04%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.53%3.51fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.63%28.59%28.50%29.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.223.203.4034.72%31.04%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oldham Athletic (Local): 37.12%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 34.35%; Draw: 28.53%. For Grimsby Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.84, with an expected value of -2.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.29%EV -4.98%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.61%EV -2.44%E -0.860%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.10%EV -6.42%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.26%EV -4.98%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.69%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.26%EV -4.98%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.69%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.35%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.35%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 12:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.35%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.35%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.35%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.35%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.35%EV -6.56%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.57%EV -6.71%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 18:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 19:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -3.13%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -3.13%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 14:52 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 12:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 12:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 13:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 12:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 12:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 12:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 12:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-09 12:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 12:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-12 12:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.92%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.92%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -10.92%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.65%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.83%E -6.19%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-08 04:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.38% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.24% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |