La escuela de los momios

Oldham Athletic v Grimsby Town

Inicio: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Predicción 37.12%2.69momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.80%37.13%37.11%38.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.492.502.6041.67%40.09%40.00%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Grimsby Town (Visitante)

Predicción 34.35%2.91momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.860%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.97%34.28%34.40%35.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.702.8440.00%36.98%37.04%35.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.53%3.51momio equitativo
EV -3.00%
Ventaja -0.882%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%28.59%28.50%29.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.223.203.4034.72%31.04%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.29%EV -4.98%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.61%EV -2.44%E -0.860%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.10%EV -6.42%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.26%EV -4.98%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.69%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:05
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.26%EV -4.98%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.69%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 12:05
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.35%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 15:00
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -5.35%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 12:45
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.35%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:50
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -5.35%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 12:05
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.35%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.35%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.08%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.35%EV -6.56%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.57%EV -6.71%E -2.05%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.00%E -0.882%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 13:35
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:35
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:55
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 13:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:50
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:29
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:00
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.28%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 19:09
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -3.13%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -3.13%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.36%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:52
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 12:59
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 12:59
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 13:00
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 13:00
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 13:00
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 12:59
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 12:59
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 12:59
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 12:59
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -7.95%E -3.20%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-09 12:59
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:54
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 12:59
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 13:00
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-09 12:59
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 12:09
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.06%E -3.70%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.97%E -3.38%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-12 12:45
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.92%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.92%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -11.56%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -10.92%E -4.55%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -14.12%E -5.65%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.83%E -6.19%K -9.49%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-08 04:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.38%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.24%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.38%2.1%2026-03-14 14:45