Language:English
Oldham Athletic v Crawley Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oldham Athletic (Local)
Prediction 48.08%2.08fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -4.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.49%48.05%48.03%49.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.931.931.9853.76%51.93%51.81%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Crawley Town (Visit)
Prediction 24.85%4.02fair odd
EV -0.593%
Edge -0.148%
Kelly -0.198%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.56%24.89%24.92%26.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.704.0029.41%27.32%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.07%3.69fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -0.706%
Kelly -0.978%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%27.07%27.05%28.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.423.453.6033.33%29.20%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oldham Athletic (Local): 48.08%; Crawley Town (Visit): 24.85%; Draw: 27.07%. For Crawley Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.593%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.81%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.60%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.18%EV -2.08%E -0.529%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 05:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.81%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.81%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 04:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.78%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.98%EV -7.30%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.24%EV -7.42%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 12:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-25 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -6.73%E -3.47%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 04:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -6.73%E -3.47%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 04:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -6.73%E -3.47%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 15:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.91%EV -7.55%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -7.42%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -11.78%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.69%E -4.01%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.38%EV -9.79%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.63%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 07:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.69%E -4.01%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.38%EV -9.79%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.63%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 07:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -0.593%E -0.148%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 03:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 13:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.81%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 05:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 05:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 05:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.81%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.81%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 08:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -15.50%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -18.79%E -6.26%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-26 19:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.65%E -4.55%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 05:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.22%EV -8.65%E -4.55%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.81%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -10.10%E -5.40%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -2.54%E -0.706%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -10.10%E -5.40%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -10.10%E -5.40%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.10%E -5.40%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 12:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.41%EV -10.58%E -5.69%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -3.08%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.76% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05% | 2.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |