La escuela de los momios

Oldham Athletic v Crawley Town

Inicio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Predicción 48.08%2.08momio equitativo
EV -4.81%
Ventaja -2.43%
Kelly -4.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.49%48.05%48.03%49.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.861.931.931.9853.76%51.93%51.81%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Crawley Town (Visitante)

Predicción 24.85%4.02momio equitativo
EV -0.593%
Ventaja -0.148%
Kelly -0.198%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.56%24.89%24.92%26.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.663.704.0029.41%27.32%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.07%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -0.706%
Kelly -0.978%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.82%27.07%27.05%28.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.423.453.6033.33%29.20%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.81%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 13:30
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:15
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.81%E -2.43%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:15
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 48.60%EV -5.77%E -2.94%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.18%EV -2.08%E -0.529%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 05:09
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.81%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.81%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 04:19
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.78%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.98%EV -7.30%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.24%EV -7.42%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:15
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 12:40
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 12:49
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 12:40
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 12:40
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -6.25%E -3.21%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.02%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-25 08:20
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -6.73%E -3.47%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 04:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -6.73%E -3.47%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 04:19
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -6.73%E -3.47%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 08:19
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -4.32%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 15:59
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.91%EV -7.55%E -2.03%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -7.42%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 08:19
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 08:19
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 08:19
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 08:19
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 08:19
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 08:19
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 08:19
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 08:19
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 08:19
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -7.21%E -3.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -11.78%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.69%E -4.01%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.38%EV -9.79%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.63%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 07:09
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.69%E -4.01%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.38%EV -9.79%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.63%EV -6.33%E -1.83%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 07:09
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -0.593%E -0.148%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 03:33
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 13:54
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.81%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 05:09
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 05:09
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 05:09
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.81%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.81%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:15
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 08:19
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 08:19
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 08:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.49%EV -8.17%E -4.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -15.50%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.96%EV -18.79%E -6.26%K -9.39%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-26 19:09
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.65%E -4.55%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 05:09
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.22%EV -8.65%E -4.55%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.81%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 14:00
Sky Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -10.10%E -5.40%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -2.54%E -0.706%K -0.978%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -10.10%E -5.40%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 14:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -10.10%E -5.40%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 16:00
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.10%E -5.40%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -10.53%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 12:39
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.41%EV -10.58%E -5.69%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -3.08%E -0.789%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%2.7%2026-02-28 14:15