Language:English
Oldham Athletic v Chesterfield FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oldham Athletic (Local)
Prediction 42.43%2.36fair odd
EV +1.84%
Edge +0.768%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.79%42.18%42.51%43.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.202.4047.62%44.88%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chesterfield FC (Visit)
Prediction 29.66%3.37fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -0.927%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.35%29.81%29.56%34.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.083.3036.36%33.06%32.52%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.91%3.58fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.663%
Kelly -0.929%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%28.01%27.93%29.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.283.303.5032.79%30.47%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oldham Athletic (Local): 42.43%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 29.66%; Draw: 27.91%. For Oldham Athletic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV +1.84%E +0.768%K +1.32%G +0.024% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -18.44%E -6.71%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.32%E -0.663%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 20:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV +0.995%E +0.418%K +0.721%G +0.007% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.99%E -4.83%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV +0.995%E +0.418%K +0.721%G +0.007% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.99%E -4.83%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 15:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV +0.995%E +0.418%K +0.721%G +0.007% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.99%E -4.83%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 15:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV +0.995%E +0.418%K +0.721%G +0.007% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.99%E -4.83%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV +0.995%E +0.418%K +0.721%G +0.007% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.99%E -4.83%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 15:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV +0.995%E +0.418%K +0.721%G +0.007% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.99%E -4.83%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 15:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV +0.995%E +0.418%K +0.721%G +0.007% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.99%E -4.83%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV +0.995%E +0.418%K +0.721%G +0.007% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.99%E -4.83%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 15:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV +0.995%E +0.418%K +0.721%G +0.007% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.99%E -4.83%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 15:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.81%EV -1.55%E -0.668%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.15%EV -16.96%E -6.06%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 15:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -2.32%E -0.663%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -2.40%E -1.04%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -18.44%E -6.71%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -3.25%E -1.42%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -18.44%E -6.71%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -14.88%E -4.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.81%EV -3.25%E -1.42%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.18%EV -18.44%E -6.71%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -14.88%E -4.88%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.32%E -0.663%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 15:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.51%E -4.24%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -4.52%E -2.01%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -13.99%E -4.83%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.32%E -0.663%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-09 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -12.51%E -4.24%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -6.64%E -3.02%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -13.99%E -4.83%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.51%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.74%EV -7.49%E -3.44%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.03%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -7.49%E -3.44%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.41%EV -7.92%E -3.65%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -2.13%E -0.646%K -0.927%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.04%EV -6.23%E -1.85%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 16:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.03%EV -7.92%E -3.65%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -9.55%E -3.13%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -8.34%E -3.86%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 16:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.76%E -4.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.10%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.76%E -4.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 16:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.76%E -4.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -3.61%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.76%E -4.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.76%E -4.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 16:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.76%E -4.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.76%E -4.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.76%E -4.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.76%E -4.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.76%E -4.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 16:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -8.76%E -4.08%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -13.99%E -4.83%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.96%EV -9.19%E -4.29%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.96%EV -9.19%E -4.29%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.58%E -2.09%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.62%EV -10.04%E -4.73%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.06%E -2.60%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -10.89%E -5.18%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -7.47%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 17:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -10.89%E -5.18%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -7.47%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -10.89%E -5.18%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.03%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -9.30%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 15:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.91% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.91% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.91% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.30% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.91% | 1.7% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.96% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.29% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |