The School of Odds
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Oldham Athletic v Chesterfield FC

2026-09-12 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Prediction 39.24%2.55fair odd
EV -5.83%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -4.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.35%39.07%39.26%39.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.362.352.4043.48%42.45%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chesterfield FC (Visit)

Prediction 32.25%3.10fair odd
EV -4.86%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.91%32.40%32.27%33.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.812.802.9538.02%35.61%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.51%3.51fair odd
EV -0.213%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.085%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%28.53%28.47%29.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.253.5032.26%30.48%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Oldham Athletic (Local): 39.24%; Chesterfield FC (Visit): 32.25%; Draw: 28.51%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -0.213%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.70%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -0.213%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -9.70%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -0.213%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.70%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.06%E -0.901%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -11.62%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -11.62%E -3.75%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.39%EV -6.22%E -2.60%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -4.86%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.70%EV -6.49%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.91%EV -5.83%E -2.00%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.94%EV -8.20%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.27%EV -7.40%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -6.47%E -2.23%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.78%EV -8.20%E -2.55%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.12%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.34%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.49%E -1.34%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -12.92%E -4.79%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -3.06%E -0.901%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.31%E -4.11%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -8.77%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -9.70%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.77%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -12.92%E -4.79%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -3.06%E -0.901%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.70%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.77%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.70%E -3.46%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.77%E -2.74%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -15.18%E -5.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -7.34%E -2.26%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 38.98%2.66I 37.59%NM 32.24%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.78%16.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.33%177.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-09-05 23:05