Language:English
Oldham Athletic v Accrington Stanley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oldham Athletic (Local)
Prediction 49.05%2.04fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.71%49.31%48.83%53.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.861.881.9958.14%53.78%53.33%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Accrington Stanley (Visit)
Prediction 26.02%3.84fair odd
EV +6.66%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +2.15%
Growth +0.143%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.48%25.83%26.22%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.643.604.1030.77%27.47%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.93%4.01fair odd
EV -0.514%
Edge -0.129%
Kelly -0.172%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.42%24.86%24.95%27.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.713.733.9932.26%26.96%26.85%25.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oldham Athletic (Local): 49.05%; Accrington Stanley (Visit): 26.02%; Draw: 24.93%. For Accrington Stanley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -15.63%E -9.09%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV +6.66%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -4.00%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 09:21 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -9.26%E -5.00%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV +1.46%E +0.374%K +0.503%G +0.007% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -13.67%E -7.77%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV +1.46%E +0.374%K +0.503%G +0.007% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -2.76%E -0.707%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -13.67%E -7.77%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -13.67%E -7.77%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -13.67%E -7.77%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -2.44%E -0.651%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.44%E -0.651%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -7.78%E -4.14%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.44%E -0.651%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.78%E -4.14%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.27%E -4.43%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.24%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.35%EV -8.77%E -4.71%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -9.26%E -5.00%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.44%EV -5.30%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.50%EV -5.75%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.27%E -4.43%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.27%E -4.43%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:51 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.80%EV -4.84%E -2.50%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.53%EV -3.76%E -0.973%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -7.78%E -4.14%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.83%EV -8.77%E -4.71%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.76%E -0.707%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.81%EV -8.77%E -4.71%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.78%E -4.14%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -10.24%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -22.71%E -7.32%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.71%EV -2.39%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.15%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.17%EV -4.84%E -2.50%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -14.41%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.42%EV -0.514%E -0.129%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -8.27%E -4.43%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -15.45%E -4.75%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |