La escuela de los momios

Oldham Athletic v Accrington Stanley

Inicio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Oldham Athletic 3–0 Accrington Stanley

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Oldham Athletic (Local)

Predicción 49.05%2.04momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.71%49.31%48.83%53.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.861.881.9958.14%53.78%53.33%50.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Accrington Stanley (Visitante)

Predicción 26.02%3.84momio equitativo
EV +6.66%
Ventaja +1.63%
Kelly +2.15%
Crecimiento +0.143%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.48%25.83%26.22%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.643.604.1030.77%27.47%27.78%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.93%4.01momio equitativo
EV -0.514%
Ventaja -0.129%
Kelly -0.172%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.42%24.86%24.95%27.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.713.733.9932.26%26.96%26.85%25.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.58%EV -15.63%E -9.09%K -21.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV +6.66%E +1.63%K +2.15%G +0.143%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -4.00%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 09:21
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -9.26%E -5.00%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV +1.46%E +0.374%K +0.503%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:54
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -13.67%E -7.77%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV +1.46%E +0.374%K +0.503%G +0.007%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -2.76%E -0.707%K -0.951%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:54
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:45
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:45
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -12.69%E -7.13%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:45
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -13.67%E -7.77%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -13.67%E -7.77%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.74%EV -13.67%E -7.77%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV +0.159%E +0.041%K +0.056%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -2.44%E -0.651%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:45
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -2.44%E -0.651%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -7.78%E -4.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.44%E -0.651%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.78%E -4.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:50
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -8.27%E -4.43%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:45
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.24%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -3.74%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 49.35%EV -8.77%E -4.71%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -5.04%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.06%EV -9.26%E -5.00%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.44%EV -5.30%E -1.46%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.50%EV -5.75%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.27%E -4.43%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:45
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.27%E -4.43%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.34%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:51
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 48.80%EV -4.84%E -2.50%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.53%EV -3.76%E -0.973%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.33%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:45
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -5.82%E -3.03%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.65%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.35%E -2.23%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Sky Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.25%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:45
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -7.78%E -4.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:45
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:45
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.31%E -3.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.83%EV -8.77%E -4.71%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.95%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.24%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:45
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.76%E -0.707%K -0.951%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.81%EV -8.77%E -4.71%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -10.25%E -2.97%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.78%E -4.14%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:45
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.99%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:45
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -6.80%E -3.58%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.73%E -3.64%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -10.24%E -5.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -11.55%E -3.40%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -22.71%E -7.32%K -10.81%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-02 13:50
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 46.71%EV -2.39%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -14.15%E -4.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.74%E -2.09%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.17%EV -4.84%E -2.50%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -14.41%E -4.38%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.42%EV -0.514%E -0.129%K -0.172%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -8.27%E -4.43%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -15.45%E -4.75%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -6.50%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-05-02 13:55