Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Notts County v Cheltenham Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Notts County (Local)

Prévision 61.45%1.63cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.661%
Kelly -1.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.85%61.28%61.54%62.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.541.521.6167.57%65.04%65.79%62.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cheltenham Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.55%6.43cote équitable
EV +1.08%
Avantage +0.165%
Kelly +0.195%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.45%15.66%15.52%18.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.905.675.756.5020.41%17.62%17.39%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.00%4.35cote équitable
EV -0.412%
Avantage -0.095%
Kelly -0.124%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.40%23.06%22.94%24.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.964.004.3327.03%25.26%25.00%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Notts County (Local) : 61.45% ; Cheltenham Town (Visiteur) : 15.55% ; Match nul : 23.00%. Pour Cheltenham Town (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.43. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.50, soit une espérance positive de +1.08%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +1.08%E +0.165%K +0.195%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 13:59
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -0.480%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.15%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:45
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -0.480%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.15%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:45
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.93%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 14.87%EV -2.19%E -0.348%K -0.414%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.20%EV -7.31%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -2.81%E -0.450%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.60%EV -3.17%E -0.753%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -2.81%E -0.450%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -2.81%E -0.450%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -3.59%E -0.579%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -8.46%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -4.75%E -3.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -2.25%E -0.530%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -4.75%E -3.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -2.25%E -0.530%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:44
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:39
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:25
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.44%E -5.66%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 13:35
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 14:44
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 14:49
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -9.81%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -9.81%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:39
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -9.81%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.37%E -3.48%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 13:24
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:29
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 13:54
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:43
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:54
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.21%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.36%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -12.92%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -0.412%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:24
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:24
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 09:59
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 09:59
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 09:59
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 10:00
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 09:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.84%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-03-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.84%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-03-21 14:50
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.84%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-03-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-03-21 14:55
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.76%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.1%2026-03-21 14:55