La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Notts County v Cheltenham Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Notts County (Local)
Predicción 61.45%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.661%
Kelly -1.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%61.28%61.54%62.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.541.521.6167.57%65.04%65.79%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cheltenham Town (Visitante)
Predicción 15.55%6.43momio equitativo
EV +1.08%
Ventaja +0.165%
Kelly +0.195%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.45%15.66%15.52%18.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.905.675.756.5020.41%17.62%17.39%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.00%4.35momio equitativo
EV -0.412%
Ventaja -0.095%
Kelly -0.124%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.40%23.06%22.94%24.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.703.964.004.3327.03%25.26%25.00%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +1.08%E +0.165%K +0.195%G +0.002% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -0.480%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.15%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betsson | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -0.480%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.15%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.93%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 6.29I 15.90%NM 14.87%EV -2.19%E -0.348%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.20%EV -7.31%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -2.81%E -0.450%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.60%EV -3.17%E -0.753%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -2.81%E -0.450%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -2.81%E -0.450%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -3.59%E -0.579%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -8.46%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -4.75%E -3.07%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -2.25%E -0.530%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -4.75%E -3.07%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -2.25%E -0.530%K -0.693%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.44%E -5.66%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Neds | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -9.81%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -9.81%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -9.81%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.37%E -3.48%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 13:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 13:54 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:43 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.21%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.36%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -12.92%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -0.412%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 10:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 09:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 09:59 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 09:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 10:00 |
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 10:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 10:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-20 10:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-20 10:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-20 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-20 09:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.84% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.84% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.84% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.76% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |