مدرسة الاحتمالات

Notts County v Cheltenham Town

البداية: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

50 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Notts County (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.45%1.63السعر العادل
EV -1.06%
الأفضلية -0.661%
Kelly -1.75%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.85%61.28%61.54%62.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.541.521.6167.57%65.04%65.79%62.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cheltenham Town (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.55%6.43السعر العادل
EV +1.08%
الأفضلية +0.165%
Kelly +0.195%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.45%15.66%15.52%18.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.905.675.756.5020.41%17.62%17.39%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.00%4.35السعر العادل
EV -0.412%
الأفضلية -0.095%
Kelly -0.124%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.40%23.06%22.94%24.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.703.964.004.3327.03%25.26%25.00%23.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.63%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +1.08%E +0.165%K +0.195%G +0.002%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 13:59
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -0.480%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.15%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:45
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.64%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.64%EV -0.480%E -0.075%K -0.089%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.15%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:45
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.93%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.14%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 14.87%EV -2.19%E -0.348%K -0.414%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.20%EV -7.31%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.22%EV -2.81%E -0.450%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.60%EV -3.17%E -0.753%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-21 14:45
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.61%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -2.81%E -0.450%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:44
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -2.81%E -0.450%K -0.536%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.77%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.95%EV -3.59%E -0.579%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.28%EV -8.46%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:40
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -4.75%E -3.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -2.25%E -0.530%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:40
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -4.75%E -3.07%K -8.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%EV -2.25%E -0.530%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:40
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:40
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:44
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:39
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:25
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 13:54
PointsBet (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.44%E -5.66%K -17.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 14:45
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 13:35
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 14:44
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.05%E -6.12%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -6.70%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 14:49
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -9.81%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -6.60%E -4.34%K -12.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -9.81%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:39
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -9.81%E -1.69%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:54
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.18%EV -5.37%E -3.48%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.40%E -0.810%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 13:24
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -5.98%E -3.91%K -11.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:29
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 13:54
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:43
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:44
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:55
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:54
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.21%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -10.59%E -1.84%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:45
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.36%EV -7.21%E -4.77%K -14.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.27%EV -12.92%E -2.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -0.412%E -0.095%K -0.124%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:24
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.82%E -5.22%K -15.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.47%E -2.63%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:24
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 09:59
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 09:59
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 09:59
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.10%EV -1.06%E -0.661%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -22.25%E -4.45%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-20 10:00
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 10:00
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 10:00
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -1.68%E -1.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -23.80%E -4.86%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 09:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.84%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-03-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.84%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-03-21 14:50
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.84%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-03-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-03-21 14:55
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 61.76%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.1%2026-03-21 14:55