A Escola das Odds

Notts County v Bristol Rovers

Início: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Notts County 1–1 Bristol Rovers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Notts County (Local)

Previsão 55.32%1.81odd justa
EV -2.63%
Vantagem -1.50%
Kelly -3.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.99%55.16%55.30%56.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.671.7661.73%59.69%59.88%56.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bristol Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 21.82%4.58odd justa
EV +0.376%
Vantagem +0.082%
Kelly +0.104%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.28%21.91%21.85%24.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.184.104.6026.32%23.92%24.39%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.86%4.38odd justa
EV +0.571%
Vantagem +0.130%
Kelly +0.168%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.07%22.93%22.85%26.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.304.034.004.4030.30%24.81%25.00%22.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -17.08%E -4.49%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV +0.571%E +0.130%K +0.168%G +0.001%7.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.84%EV -9.66%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.19%EV -2.63%E -0.617%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:31
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.99%E -0.906%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:34
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:54
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.16%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.48%EV -12.93%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.36%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.55%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.26%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.14%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.55%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.26%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.14%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.14%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -6.17%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -5.14%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -15.99%E -4.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.90%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.51%E -3.85%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:20
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:20
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -14.90%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 13:45
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV +0.376%E +0.082%K +0.104%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 08:05
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:35
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 08:05
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 08:05
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 08:05
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:35
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -17.08%E -4.49%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:54
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -6.17%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:54
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 00:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.33%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -14.90%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.71%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:39
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.99%E -0.906%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:35
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:35
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:35
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:35
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -12.00%E -3.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 13:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -24.57%E -7.45%K -10.68%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-02 13:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.69%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72%2.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11%2.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.84%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%4.2%2026-05-02 13:55