La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Notts County v Bristol Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Notts County (Local)
Predicción 55.32%1.81momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -3.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.99%55.16%55.30%56.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.681.671.7661.73%59.69%59.88%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bristol Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 21.82%4.58momio equitativo
EV +0.376%
Ventaja +0.082%
Kelly +0.104%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.28%21.91%21.85%24.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.184.104.6026.32%23.92%24.39%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.86%4.38momio equitativo
EV +0.571%
Ventaja +0.130%
Kelly +0.168%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.07%22.93%22.85%26.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.304.034.004.4030.30%24.81%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -17.08%E -4.49%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV +0.571%E +0.130%K +0.168%G +0.001% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.84%EV -9.66%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.19%EV -2.63%E -0.617%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.99%E -0.906%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.16%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.48%EV -12.93%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.36%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.55%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.26%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.14%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.55%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.26%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.14%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.14%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -6.17%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -5.14%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -15.99%E -4.15%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.90%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.51%E -3.85%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:20 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -14.90%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV +0.376%E +0.082%K +0.104%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 08:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 08:05 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 08:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 08:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| BetUS | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -17.08%E -4.49%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -6.17%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.33%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -14.90%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.71%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 13:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.99%E -0.906%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -12.00%E -3.12%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -24.57%E -7.45%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.69% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.54% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.73% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72% | 2.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.27% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11% | 2.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.84% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |