L’École des cotes

Notts County v Bristol Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Notts County 1–1 Bristol Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Notts County (Local)

Prévision 55.32%1.81cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -3.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.99%55.16%55.30%56.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.681.671.7661.73%59.69%59.88%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bristol Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.82%4.58cote équitable
EV +0.376%
Avantage +0.082%
Kelly +0.104%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.28%21.91%21.85%24.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.184.104.6026.32%23.92%24.39%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.86%4.38cote équitable
EV +0.571%
Avantage +0.130%
Kelly +0.168%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.07%22.93%22.85%26.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.304.034.004.4030.30%24.81%25.00%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -17.08%E -4.49%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV +0.571%E +0.130%K +0.168%G +0.001%7.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.84%EV -9.66%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.19%EV -2.63%E -0.617%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.40%E -3.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:31
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.99%E -0.906%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 13:34
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.00%E -0.952%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:54
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.16%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.48%EV -12.93%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.36%EV -4.23%E -1.01%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.55%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.26%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.14%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.55%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.26%E -1.71%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.14%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.14%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -6.17%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -5.14%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:50
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -2.63%E -1.50%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -15.99%E -4.15%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -14.90%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.51%E -3.85%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 13:20
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:20
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -14.90%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -6.29%E -1.53%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 13:45
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV +0.376%E +0.082%K +0.104%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 08:05
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:35
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 08:05
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 08:05
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 08:05
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 13:35
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -7.06%E -4.20%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -4.29%E -2.48%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -17.08%E -4.49%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 13:54
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -6.17%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:54
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 00:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 54.33%EV -8.17%E -4.92%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -14.90%E -3.82%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.57%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.38%EV -9.27%E -5.65%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.71%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.95%E -3.50%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 13:39
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:35
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.99%E -0.906%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:35
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:35
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:35
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.35%E -1.99%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:35
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -10.38%E -6.41%K -16.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -1.81%E -0.401%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.86%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:35
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -8.72%E -5.28%K -13.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.53%E -2.57%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -12.00%E -3.12%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 13:55
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -7.61%E -4.56%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -12.72%E -3.18%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -24.57%E -7.45%K -10.68%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-02 13:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.69%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.91%1.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36%1.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.54%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72%2.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.27%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11%2.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.84%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%4.2%2026-05-02 13:55