Language:English
Newport County v Tranmere Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newport County (Local)
Prediction 31.85%3.14fair odd
EV -0.625%
Edge -0.200%
Kelly -0.295%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.15%32.22%31.62%36.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.822.903.1240.32%35.41%34.48%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tranmere Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 39.21%2.55fair odd
EV +3.90%
Edge +1.47%
Kelly +2.36%
Growth +0.092%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.31%38.82%39.38%41.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.402.382.6544.44%41.62%42.11%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.94%3.46fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.96%28.95%29.00%30.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.3033.33%31.40%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newport County (Local): 31.85%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 39.21%; Draw: 28.94%. For Tranmere Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -20.37%E -8.15%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV +3.90%E +1.47%K +2.36%G +0.092% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 04:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -1.98%E -0.794%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -20.37%E -8.15%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -1.98%E -0.794%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -20.37%E -8.15%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -1.98%E -0.794%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.71%EV -21.01%E -8.47%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.71%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.71%EV -21.01%E -8.47%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.71%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.22%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.94%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -3.94%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -9.22%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -7.08%E -2.99%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -7.08%E -2.99%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.21%EV -5.40%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.27%EV -7.47%E -3.17%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -9.12%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -0.625%E -0.200%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.56%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -2.85%E -0.936%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 13:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 13:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.24%EV -4.77%E -1.59%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.92%EV -8.26%E -3.53%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.83%EV -6.23%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -1.26%E -0.407%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.26%E -0.407%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.26%E -0.407%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-29 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |