Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Newport County v Tranmere Rovers

Início: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Final: Newport County 2–2 Tranmere Rovers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Newport County (Local)

Previsão 31.85%3.14odd justa
EV -0.625%
Vantagem -0.200%
Kelly -0.295%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.15%32.22%31.62%36.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.482.822.903.1240.32%35.41%34.48%32.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tranmere Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 39.21%2.55odd justa
EV +3.90%
Vantagem +1.47%
Kelly +2.36%
Crescimento +0.092%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.31%38.82%39.38%41.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.402.382.6544.44%41.62%42.11%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.94%3.46odd justa
EV -4.49%
Vantagem -1.36%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.96%28.95%29.00%30.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.183.203.3033.33%31.40%31.25%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Newport County (Local): 31.85%; Tranmere Rovers (Visitante): 39.21%; Empate: 28.94%. Para Tranmere Rovers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.55. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.90%.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -20.37%E -8.15%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV +3.90%E +1.47%K +2.36%G +0.092%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 04:20
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:45
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:45
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:45
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:45
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -18.78%E -7.36%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -0.024%E -0.009%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:45
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.09%EV -1.98%E -0.794%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -20.37%E -8.15%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -1.98%E -0.794%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -20.37%E -8.15%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.80%EV -1.98%E -0.794%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.71%EV -21.01%E -8.47%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.71%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 13:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.71%EV -21.01%E -8.47%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.71%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-29 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.22%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -3.94%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -3.94%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -9.22%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:50
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:49
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.90%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -13.17%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 13:45
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -7.08%E -2.99%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -7.08%E -2.99%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 31.21%EV -5.40%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.27%EV -7.47%E -3.17%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -9.12%E -2.90%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Pinnacle🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.55%EV -0.625%E -0.200%K -0.295%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.56%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 13:50
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -2.85%E -0.936%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.10%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:49
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.94%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:53
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 13:45
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.33%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 13:44
1xBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.24%EV -4.77%E -1.59%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.92%EV -8.26%E -3.53%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.83%EV -6.23%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:55
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -1.26%E -0.407%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.26%E -0.407%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.26%E -0.407%K -0.601%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:49
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 13:49
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -4.49%E -1.36%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 13:54
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -8.83%E -2.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 13:49
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:55
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 13:49
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 13:45
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -14.00%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -7.38%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-29 13:55
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -10.28%E -3.32%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 13:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.54%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%1.2%2026-08-29 13:55