Language:English
Harrogate Town v Salford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Harrogate Town (Local)
Prediction 24.61%4.06fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.395%
Kelly -0.526%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.26%24.54%24.65%25.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.804.0028.57%26.35%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Salford City (Visit)
Prediction 48.98%2.04fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.66%49.08%48.88%50.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.871.9955.56%53.38%53.48%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.41%3.79fair odd
EV -0.949%
Edge -0.253%
Kelly -0.345%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%26.38%26.47%29.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.513.553.7533.33%28.46%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harrogate Town (Local): 24.61%; Salford City (Visit): 48.98%; Draw: 26.41%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.949%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -1.58%E -0.395%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.94%E -3.65%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -1.58%E -0.395%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.94%E -3.65%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.45%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.12%EV -8.41%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.23%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.23%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.23%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.16%EV -2.53%E -1.27%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.62%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.16%EV -2.53%E -1.27%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.62%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -8.41%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -0.949%E -0.253%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.41%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -4.98%E -2.57%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -4.98%E -2.57%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.45%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 12:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.41%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -8.90%E -4.78%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -4.38%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -3.59%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -20.76%E -6.92%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -2.27%E -0.613%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 20:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -2.27%E -0.613%K -0.841%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 20:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.45%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.45%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.45%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.45%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.19%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.19%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -10.19%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.49%EV -8.41%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 12:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.94%E -3.65%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -0.949%E -0.253%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.41%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 12:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -7.43%E -3.93%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 12:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 25.64%EV -12.16%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.94%EV -8.41%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 12:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.88%E -3.97%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 12:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.6% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |