La escuela de los momios

Harrogate Town v Salford City

Inicio: 2026-03-14 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Harrogate Town (Local)

Predicción 24.61%4.06momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.395%
Kelly -0.526%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.26%24.54%24.65%25.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.793.804.0028.57%26.35%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Salford City (Visitante)

Predicción 48.98%2.04momio equitativo
EV -2.53%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.66%49.08%48.88%50.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.871.871.9955.56%53.38%53.48%50.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.41%3.79momio equitativo
EV -0.949%
Ventaja -0.253%
Kelly -0.345%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.90%26.38%26.47%29.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.513.553.7533.33%28.46%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -1.58%E -0.395%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -6.94%E -3.65%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 12:25
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -1.58%E -0.395%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 12:20
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 12:15
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -6.94%E -3.65%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 12:20
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.45%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 12:10
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Grosvenor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Casumo3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:05
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:05
BetRivers3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:05
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:05
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -10.85%E -5.96%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 12:05
theScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 12:20
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.04%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.12%EV -8.41%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 12:20
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.23%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.23%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 12:05
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -5.27%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.64%EV -11.83%E -6.57%K -14.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -6.23%E -1.76%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 12:05
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.16%EV -2.53%E -1.27%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.62%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 12:20
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.16%EV -2.53%E -1.27%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.62%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 12:20
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -8.41%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -0.949%E -0.253%K -0.345%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 12:20
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.41%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:20
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -4.98%E -2.57%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.43%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.86%EV -4.98%E -2.57%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -11.51%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:15
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.45%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 12:09
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 12:20
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.41%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
Marathon Bet3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.79%EV -8.90%E -4.78%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.58%EV -4.38%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:25
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -3.59%E -0.984%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 12:15
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.49%E -2.30%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -7.73%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.66%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -20.76%E -6.92%K -10.38%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 12:05
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -2.27%E -0.613%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 20:20
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -2.27%E -0.613%K -0.841%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 20:20
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.45%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 12:15
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.45%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 12:15
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.45%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 12:15
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -8.96%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -6.45%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 12:15
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.19%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
BetUS3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -10.19%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -7.92%E -4.21%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:20
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -10.19%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.49%EV -8.41%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 12:10
1xBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.94%E -3.65%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -0.949%E -0.253%K -0.345%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:20
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.45%E -3.37%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 12:25
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.41%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.55%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 12:09
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -11.42%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -7.43%E -3.93%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.19%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 12:15
Pinnacle3.57I 28.01%NM 25.64%EV -12.16%E -3.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.94%EV -8.41%E -4.49%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 12:10
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -13.88%E -3.97%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -4.91%E -1.36%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 12:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-14 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-14 12:25
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-03-14 12:25
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-03-14 12:25